Handball · France Starligue · 15/11, 17:00

Prediction: Pays d'Aix UC vs PSG Handball

Team pages: Pays d'Aix UC · PSG Handball

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63Total

Pays d'Aix UC30

PSG Handball33.1

1X2

26% 74%

Pays d'Aix UC PSG Handball

Recent form · 10 last

Pays d'Aix UC 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLWLWW

PSG Handball 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Pays d'Aix UC 0–6 PSG Handball (6 last)

PSG Handball32-28Pays d'Aix UC
Pays d'Aix UC24-37PSG Handball
PSG Handball37-34Pays d'Aix UC
Pays d'Aix UC26-28PSG Handball
PSG Handball39-36Pays d'Aix UC
Pays d'Aix UC31-39PSG Handball

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pays d'Aix UC 1512 · PSG Handball 1628

	Pays d'Aix UC	PSG Handball
Our model	43%	57%
Market	13%	80%

Estimated total (ours) 63 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63Pays d'Aix UC 30 · PSG Handball 33.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSG Handball (rating 1512 vs 1628).
PSG Handball is a clear favourite (74% market).
H2H favours PSG Handball: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Pays d'Aix UC	PSG Handball
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.3 / 30.5	35 / 27.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34.6 / 29.8	36.6 / 25.8
Est. result	30	33

Est. total63

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

17.50

X12.00

21.18

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.95

2 (-4.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 0.5 · Est. total: 63

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:16 +1’	7.50	12.00	1.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pays d'Aix UC 0–0–6 PSG Handball

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 France Starligue	PSG Handball	32-28	Pays d'Aix UC
28/09/25 France Starligue	Pays d'Aix UC	24-37	PSG Handball
23/02/25 France Starligue	PSG Handball	37-34	Pays d'Aix UC
17/11/24 France Starligue	Pays d'Aix UC	26-28	PSG Handball
31/05/24 France Starligue	PSG Handball	39-36	Pays d'Aix UC
19/11/23 France Starligue	Pays d'Aix UC	31-39	PSG Handball

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	9	9	0	0	315	241	18
2	Nantes	9	8	0	1	331	269	16
3	USAM Nimes	9	7	0	2	295	288	14
4	Montpellier	9	5	2	2	288	263	12
5	Tremblay	9	5	1	3	300	286	11
6	Limoges HB 87	9	5	0	4	296	269	10
7	Pays d'Aix UC	9	5	0	4	295	273	10
8	Caen Handball	9	5	0	4	256	285	10
9	Toulouse	9	4	0	5	255	264	8
10	Chartres Metropole HB 28	9	3	1	5	262	289	7
11	USM Saran	9	3	0	6	257	282	6
12	Selestat Alsace HB	9	3	0	6	260	277	6
13	Saint Raphael	9	3	0	6	269	300	6
14	Chambery Savoie	9	2	2	5	286	306	6
15	Cesson Rennes	9	1	0	8	275	307	2
16	Dunkerque	9	1	0	8	223	264	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pays d'Aix UC	PSG Handball
Toulouse	32-26 W	30-23 W
Chambery Savoie	33-34 L	32-29 W
USM Saran	39-30 W	36-27 W
Caen Handball	32-25 W	42-28 W
Cesson Rennes	28-29 L	30-24 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: PSG Handball (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pays d'Aix UC

WWLLWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Dunkerque France Starligue	36-24	W
23/10	Toulouse France Starligue	32-26	W
18/10	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	33-34	L
08/10	USM Saran France Starligue	39-30	W
04/10	USAM Nimes France Starligue	33-35	L
25/09	Caen Handball France Starligue	32-25	W
19/09	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	28-29	L
12/09	Nantes France Starligue	28-38	L
05/09	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	34-32	W
06/06	Dijon France Starligue	38-32	W

PSG Handball

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Montpellier France Starligue	33-23	W
25/10	Saint Raphael France Starligue	42-28	W
17/10	Caen Handball France Starligue	42-28	W
10/10	Toulouse France Starligue	30-23	W
01/10	USM Saran France Starligue	36-27	W
26/09	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	35-33	W
20/09	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	35-26	W
12/09	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	30-24	W
04/09	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	32-29	W
06/06	Tremblay France Starligue	35-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pays d'Aix UC vs PSG Handball?

Our model gives 74% to PSG Handball.

How many points are expected in Pays d'Aix UC vs PSG Handball?

The model estimates 63 total points (Pays d'Aix UC 30 · PSG Handball 33.1).