Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 14/11, 17:30

Prediction: Bergischer HC (W) vs SG 09 Kirchhof (W)

Team pages: Bergischer HC (W) · SG 09 Kirchhof (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.3Total

Bergischer HC (W)30.1

SG 09 Kirchhof (W)27.3

1X2

71% 29%

Bergischer HC (W) SG 09 Kirchhof (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Bergischer HC (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWWLLL

SG 09 Kirchhof (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLWLL

Head-to-head

Bergischer HC (W) 1–1 SG 09 Kirchhof (W) (2 last)

SG 09 Kirchhof (W)28-27Bergischer HC (W)
Bergischer HC (W)29-22SG 09 Kirchhof (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bergischer HC (W) 1473 · SG 09 Kirchhof (W) 1439

	Bergischer HC (W)	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)
Our model	65%	35%
Market	68%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 57.3 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · -1.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.3Bergischer HC (W) 30.1 · SG 09 Kirchhof (W) 27.3

Match keys

Bergischer HC (W) is a clear favourite (71% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Bergischer HC (W)	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.4 / 30.2	25.9 / 32
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29 / 30	25.2 / 31.8
Est. result	30	27

Est. total57.3

Line O/U58.5

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.32

X9.50

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.85

2 (+3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 0.25 · Est. total: 58.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:08 +9’	1.32	9.50	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bergischer HC (W) 1–0–1 SG 09 Kirchhof (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	28-27	Bergischer HC (W)
06/09/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Bergischer HC (W)	29-22	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	8	7	1	0	290	221	15
2	Fuchse Berlin (W)	8	6	2	0	279	233	14
3	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	8	7	0	1	250	217	14
4	HC Rodertal (W)	8	6	0	2	251	205	12
5	VfL Waiblingen (W)	8	6	0	2	241	202	12
6	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	8	6	0	2	251	228	12
7	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	7	4	2	1	218	182	10
8	Bergischer HC (W)	8	4	1	3	236	234	9
9	HSG Freiburg (W)	8	3	1	4	252	262	7
10	SV Werder Bremen (W)	8	3	0	5	238	254	6
11	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	8	2	1	5	220	238	5
12	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	7	2	0	5	178	218	4
13	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	8	1	1	6	235	279	3
14	TUS Lintfort (W)	8	1	0	7	206	244	2
15	SV Todesfelde (W)	8	0	1	7	225	267	1
16	Rostocker HC (W)	8	0	0	8	197	283	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bergischer HC (W)	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)
SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	26-38 L	23-37 L
HC Rodertal (W)	27-29 L	22-30 L
VfL Waiblingen (W)	27-28 L	31-32 L
SV Werder Bremen (W)	31-30 W	29-37 L
TUS Lintfort (W)	35-31 W	27-26 W
Fuchse Berlin (W)	29-29 D	27-36 L
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	22-31 L	23-34 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Bergischer HC (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bergischer HC (W)

LLWDWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-38	L
31/10	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-29	L
16/10	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-28	L
10/10	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-30	W
19/09	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-25	W
12/09	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	35-31	W
05/09	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-29	D
29/08	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-24	W
30/05	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-31	L
23/05	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-37	L

SG 09 Kirchhof (W)

LLLLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-30	L
31/10	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-37	L
18/10	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-26	W
19/09	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	18-35	L
12/09	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-31	L
06/09	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-22	W
29/08	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	23-37	L
30/05	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-36	L
23/05	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-32	L
17/05	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	23-34	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bergischer HC (W) vs SG 09 Kirchhof (W)?

Our model gives 71% to Bergischer HC (W).

How many points are expected in Bergischer HC (W) vs SG 09 Kirchhof (W)?

The model estimates 57.3 total points (Bergischer HC (W) 30.1 · SG 09 Kirchhof (W) 27.3).