Handball · Denmark 1st Division · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: Rækker Mølle vs Grindsted GIF

Team pages: Rækker Mølle

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.2Total

Rækker Mølle30.4

Grindsted GIF29.9

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

53% 47%

Rækker Mølle Grindsted GIF

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 61.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Rækker Mølle 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWWLLL

Grindsted GIF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWDWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Rækker Mølle 2–2 Grindsted GIF (4 last)

Grindsted GIF28-22Rækker Mølle
Rækker Mølle23-24Grindsted GIF
Rækker Mølle33-30Grindsted GIF
Grindsted GIF25-26Rækker Mølle

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rækker Mølle 1497 · Grindsted GIF 1474

	Rækker Mølle	Grindsted GIF
Our model	63%	37%
Market	41%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 60.2 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.2Rækker Mølle 30.4 · Grindsted GIF 29.9

Over / Under 61.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~59.9 pts · strength 2

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Rækker Mølle	Grindsted GIF
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.3 / 29.9	30.2 / 29.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.8 / 31	28.4 / 30
Est. result	30	30

Est. total60.2

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1.3

Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.20

X8.50

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 1.65 · Est. total: 59.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 2.20▲	Bet365 2.20
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.10 → 1.90▼	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
10:47 +29’	1.95	8.50	2.10
14:04 +13’	2.20▲	8.50	1.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rækker Mølle 2–0–2 Grindsted GIF

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/24 Denmark 1st Division	Grindsted GIF	28-22	Rækker Mølle
02/12/23 Denmark 1st Division	Rækker Mølle	23-24	Grindsted GIF
02/04/23 Denmark 1st Division	Rækker Mølle	33-30	Grindsted GIF
26/11/22 Denmark 1st Division	Grindsted GIF	25-26	Rækker Mølle

Standings · Denmark 1st Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HOJ Elite	10	9	0	1	339	275	18
2	HC Midtjylland	11	9	0	2	347	323	18
3	TM Tonder	10	8	0	2	319	276	16
4	Team Sydhavsoerne	11	7	0	4	347	315	14
5	Elitesport Vendsyssel	10	6	1	3	294	296	13
6	Norddjurs Handbold	10	6	0	4	333	303	12
7	Aarhus HC	11	6	0	5	342	336	12
8	Rækker Mølle	10	5	0	5	303	299	10
9	Grindsted GIF	10	4	1	5	302	293	9
10	Lemvig-Thyboran	10	4	1	5	302	300	9
11	Koge	10	3	0	7	292	310	6
12	Odder Handbold	10	2	1	7	312	351	5
13	Stoholm Håndbold	11	1	0	10	283	372	2
14	AGF Aarhus	10	0	0	10	254	320	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rækker Mølle	Grindsted GIF
Norddjurs Handbold	33-36 L	29-25 W
Elitesport Vendsyssel	28-29 L	29-30 L
TM Tonder	25-32 L	33-30 W
Lemvig-Thyboran	28-25 W	31-31 D
Aarhus HC	28-31 L	29-30 L
HC Midtjylland	27-28 L	30-32 L
HOJ Elite	37-34 W	28-32 L
AGF Aarhus	29-26 W	29-24 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Grindsted GIF (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rækker Mølle

WWLLWWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Norddjurs Handbold Denmark 1st Division	33-36	L
24/10	Elitesport Vendsyssel Denmark 1st Division	28-29	L
18/10	TM Tonder Denmark 1st Division	25-32	L
11/10	Koge Denmark 1st Division	32-30	W
02/10	Odder Handbold Denmark 1st Division	36-28	W
25/09	Lemvig-Thyboran Denmark 1st Division	28-25	W
18/09	Aarhus HC Denmark 1st Division	28-31	L
11/09	HC Midtjylland Denmark 1st Division	27-28	L
03/09	HOJ Elite Denmark 1st Division	37-34	W
29/08	AGF Aarhus Denmark 1st Division	29-26	W

Grindsted GIF

WLWDWLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Aarhus HC Denmark 1st Division	29-30	L
24/10	HC Midtjylland Denmark 1st Division	30-32	L
18/10	HOJ Elite Denmark 1st Division	28-32	L
10/10	AGF Aarhus Denmark 1st Division	29-24	W
03/10	Team Sydhavsoerne Denmark 1st Division	26-32	L
26/09	Stoholm Håndbold Denmark 1st Division	38-27	W
19/09	Lemvig-Thyboran Denmark 1st Division	31-31	D
12/09	Norddjurs Handbold Denmark 1st Division	29-25	W
05/09	Elitesport Vendsyssel Denmark 1st Division	29-30	L
29/08	TM Tonder Denmark 1st Division	33-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rækker Mølle vs Grindsted GIF?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Rækker Mølle 53% · Grindsted GIF 47%).

How many points are expected in Rækker Mølle vs Grindsted GIF?

The model estimates 60.2 total points (Rækker Mølle 30.4 · Grindsted GIF 29.9).

Over or under 61.5 points?

Recent history points to under 61.5 points (65%).