Handball · Denmark 1st Division · 12/11, 19:00
Prediction: Aarhus HC vs Stoholm Håndbold
Team pages: Aarhus HC
Prediction summary
Estimated points
60.8Total
Aarhus HC32.9
Stoholm Håndbold27.9
1X2
Aarhus HC
Stoholm Håndbold
Recent form · 10 last
Aarhus HC
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Stoholm Håndbold
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aarhus HC 1500 · Stoholm Håndbold 1417
| Aarhus HC | Stoholm Håndbold | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 87% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
60.8 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +1.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points60.8Aarhus HC 32.9 · Stoholm Håndbold 27.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aarhus HC (rating 1500 vs 1417).
- Aarhus HC is a clear favourite (83% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Aarhus HC | Stoholm Håndbold | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 30.7 / 31.2 | 25.9 / 33.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 31.6 / 32 | 25.6 / 32 |
| Est. result | 33 | 28 |
Est. total60.8
Line O/U59.5
Diff.1.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Standings · Denmark 1st Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HOJ Elite | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 339 | 275 | 18 |
| 2 | TM Tonder | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 319 | 276 | 16 |
| 3 | HC Midtjylland | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 312 | 294 | 16 |
| 4 | Team Sydhavsoerne | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 318 | 280 | 14 |
| 5 | Elitesport Vendsyssel | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 294 | 296 | 13 |
| 6 | Norddjurs Handbold | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 333 | 303 | 12 |
| 7 | Aarhus HC | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 307 | 312 | 10 |
| 8 | Rækker Mølle | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 303 | 299 | 10 |
| 9 | Grindsted GIF | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 302 | 293 | 9 |
| 10 | Lemvig-Thyboran | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 302 | 300 | 9 |
| 11 | Koge | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 292 | 310 | 6 |
| 12 | Odder Handbold | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 312 | 351 | 5 |
| 13 | Stoholm Håndbold | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 259 | 337 | 2 |
| 14 | AGF Aarhus | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 254 | 320 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aarhus HC | Stoholm Håndbold |
|---|---|---|
| Grindsted GIF | 30-29 W | 27-38 L |
| Norddjurs Handbold | 34-36 L | 25-40 L |
| Elitesport Vendsyssel | 25-29 L | 30-34 L |
| TM Tonder | 32-34 L | 21-32 L |
| Koge | 37-32 W | 28-33 L |
| Lemvig-Thyboran | 29-26 W | 23-30 L |
| HC Midtjylland | 28-32 L | 29-33 L |
| HOJ Elite | 22-32 L | 24-38 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 5 L | 0 W 0 D 8 L |
Better against common opponents: Aarhus HC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aarhus HC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Grindsted GIF Denmark 1st Division |
30-29 | W |
| 24/10 | Norddjurs Handbold Denmark 1st Division |
34-36 | L |
| 17/10 | Elitesport Vendsyssel Denmark 1st Division |
25-29 | L |
| 10/10 | TM Tonder Denmark 1st Division |
32-34 | L |
| 02/10 | Koge Denmark 1st Division |
37-32 | W |
| 26/09 | Odder Handbold Denmark 1st Division |
39-34 | W |
| 18/09 | Rækker Mølle Denmark 1st Division |
31-28 | W |
| 11/09 | Lemvig-Thyboran Denmark 1st Division |
29-26 | W |
| 04/09 | HC Midtjylland Denmark 1st Division |
28-32 | L |
| 29/08 | HOJ Elite Denmark 1st Division |
22-32 | L |
Stoholm Håndbold
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | HC Midtjylland Denmark 1st Division |
29-33 | L |
| 23/10 | HOJ Elite Denmark 1st Division |
24-38 | L |
| 16/10 | AGF Aarhus Denmark 1st Division |
31-25 | W |
| 11/10 | Team Sydhavsoerne Denmark 1st Division |
21-34 | L |
| 02/10 | Lemvig-Thyboran Denmark 1st Division |
23-30 | L |
| 26/09 | Grindsted GIF Denmark 1st Division |
27-38 | L |
| 19/09 | Norddjurs Handbold Denmark 1st Division |
25-40 | L |
| 12/09 | Elitesport Vendsyssel Denmark 1st Division |
30-34 | L |
| 06/09 | TM Tonder Denmark 1st Division |
21-32 | L |
| 29/08 | Koge Denmark 1st Division |
28-33 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aarhus HC vs Stoholm Håndbold?
Our model gives 83% to Aarhus HC.
How many points are expected in Aarhus HC vs Stoholm Håndbold?
The model estimates 60.8 total points (Aarhus HC 32.9 · Stoholm Håndbold 27.9).