Handball · Denmark 1st Division · 15/11, 16:00

Prediction: Koge vs Elitesport Vendsyssel

Team pages: Elitesport Vendsyssel

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.3Total

Koge29.5

Elitesport Vendsyssel29.8

1X2

40% 60%

Koge Elitesport Vendsyssel

Recent form · 10 last

Koge 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLLWLL

Elitesport Vendsyssel 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLWWD

Head-to-head

Koge 2–0 Elitesport Vendsyssel (2 last)

Elitesport Vendsyssel27-28Koge
Koge31-29Elitesport Vendsyssel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Koge 1457 · Elitesport Vendsyssel 1525

	Koge	Elitesport Vendsyssel
Our model	50%	50%
Market	30%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 59.3 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.3Koge 29.5 · Elitesport Vendsyssel 29.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elitesport Vendsyssel (rating 1457 vs 1525).
H2H favours Koge: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Koge	Elitesport Vendsyssel
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.2 / 31	29.4 / 29.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.6 / 33	28.2 / 30
Est. result	30	30

Est. total59.3

Line O/U59.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.00

X8.50

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.75

2 (-2.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 0.1 · Est. total: 59.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 3.00▲	Bet365 3.00
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.70 → 1.50▼	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:46 +32’	2.50	8.50	1.70
13:13 +3’	3.00▲	8.50	1.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Koge 2–0–0 Elitesport Vendsyssel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/02/24 Denmark 1st Division	Elitesport Vendsyssel	27-28	Koge
06/10/23 Denmark 1st Division	Koge	31-29	Elitesport Vendsyssel

Standings · Denmark 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HOJ Elite	10	9	0	1	339	275	18
2	HC Midtjylland	11	9	0	2	347	323	18
3	TM Tonder	10	8	0	2	319	276	16
4	Team Sydhavsoerne	11	7	0	4	347	315	14
5	Elitesport Vendsyssel	10	6	1	3	294	296	13
6	Norddjurs Handbold	10	6	0	4	333	303	12
7	Aarhus HC	11	6	0	5	342	336	12
8	Rækker Mølle	10	5	0	5	303	299	10
9	Grindsted GIF	10	4	1	5	302	293	9
10	Lemvig-Thyboran	10	4	1	5	302	300	9
11	Koge	10	3	0	7	292	310	6
12	Odder Handbold	10	2	1	7	312	351	5
13	Stoholm Håndbold	11	1	0	10	283	372	2
14	AGF Aarhus	10	0	0	10	254	320	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Koge	Elitesport Vendsyssel
Odder Handbold	34-30 W	29-29 D
Rækker Mølle	30-32 L	29-28 W
Aarhus HC	32-37 L	29-25 W
HC Midtjylland	27-30 L	28-31 L
HOJ Elite	20-29 L	26-37 L
AGF Aarhus	33-29 W	29-25 W
Team Sydhavsoerne	26-29 L	34-32 W
Stoholm Håndbold	33-28 W	34-30 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Koge

WLWLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	TM Tonder Denmark 1st Division	33-40	L
23/10	Lemvig-Thyboran Denmark 1st Division	24-26	L
18/10	Odder Handbold Denmark 1st Division	34-30	W
11/10	Rækker Mølle Denmark 1st Division	30-32	L
02/10	Aarhus HC Denmark 1st Division	32-37	L
26/09	HC Midtjylland Denmark 1st Division	27-30	L
18/09	HOJ Elite Denmark 1st Division	20-29	L
12/09	AGF Aarhus Denmark 1st Division	33-29	W
04/09	Team Sydhavsoerne Denmark 1st Division	26-29	L
29/08	Stoholm Håndbold Denmark 1st Division	33-28	W

Elitesport Vendsyssel

LWWWWLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Odder Handbold Denmark 1st Division	29-29	D
24/10	Rækker Mølle Denmark 1st Division	29-28	W
17/10	Aarhus HC Denmark 1st Division	29-25	W
10/10	HC Midtjylland Denmark 1st Division	28-31	L
03/10	HOJ Elite Denmark 1st Division	26-37	L
27/09	AGF Aarhus Denmark 1st Division	29-25	W
20/09	Team Sydhavsoerne Denmark 1st Division	34-32	W
12/09	Stoholm Håndbold Denmark 1st Division	34-30	W
05/09	Grindsted GIF Denmark 1st Division	30-29	W
29/08	Norddjurs Handbold Denmark 1st Division	26-30	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Koge vs Elitesport Vendsyssel?

Our model gives 60% to Elitesport Vendsyssel.

How many points are expected in Koge vs Elitesport Vendsyssel?

The model estimates 59.3 total points (Koge 29.5 · Elitesport Vendsyssel 29.8).