Handball · Denmark 1st Division · 12/11, 19:30

Prediction: HC Midtjylland vs Team Sydhavsoerne

Team pages: HC Midtjylland · Team Sydhavsoerne

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.5Total

HC Midtjylland30.2

Team Sydhavsoerne30.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

61% 39%

HC Midtjylland Team Sydhavsoerne

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 62.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

HC Midtjylland 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLWWWW

Team Sydhavsoerne 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWWWWL

Head-to-head

HC Midtjylland 6–0 Team Sydhavsoerne (6 last)

Team Sydhavsoerne33-34HC Midtjylland
HC Midtjylland32-29Team Sydhavsoerne
Team Sydhavsoerne27-32HC Midtjylland
HC Midtjylland34-33Team Sydhavsoerne
Team Sydhavsoerne24-30HC Midtjylland
HC Midtjylland28-27Team Sydhavsoerne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HC Midtjylland 1567 · Team Sydhavsoerne 1534

	HC Midtjylland	Team Sydhavsoerne
Our model	64%	36%
Market	53%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 60.5 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.5HC Midtjylland 30.2 · Team Sydhavsoerne 30.3

Over / Under 62.5Under · 75%recent trend · ~60.3 pts · strength 2

Match keys

H2H favours HC Midtjylland: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HC Midtjylland	Team Sydhavsoerne
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.2 / 29.4	31.8 / 28
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.6 / 29.4	32.2 / 27.6
Est. result	30	30

Est. total60.5

Line O/U62.5

Diff.2

Over / Under25% / 75%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.70

X8.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 2.3 · Est. total: 60.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:13 +2’	1.70	8.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HC Midtjylland 6–0–0 Team Sydhavsoerne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/12/25 Denmark 1st Division	Team Sydhavsoerne	33-34	HC Midtjylland
29/08/25 Denmark 1st Division	HC Midtjylland	32-29	Team Sydhavsoerne
29/03/25 Denmark 1st Division	Team Sydhavsoerne	27-32	HC Midtjylland
23/11/24 Denmark 1st Division	HC Midtjylland	34-33	Team Sydhavsoerne
25/02/24 Denmark 1st Division	Team Sydhavsoerne	24-30	HC Midtjylland
28/10/23 Denmark 1st Division	HC Midtjylland	28-27	Team Sydhavsoerne

Standings · Denmark 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HOJ Elite	10	9	0	1	339	275	18
2	TM Tonder	10	8	0	2	319	276	16
3	HC Midtjylland	10	8	0	2	312	294	16
4	Team Sydhavsoerne	10	7	0	3	318	280	14
5	Elitesport Vendsyssel	10	6	1	3	294	296	13
6	Norddjurs Handbold	10	6	0	4	333	303	12
7	Aarhus HC	10	5	0	5	307	312	10
8	Rækker Mølle	10	5	0	5	303	299	10
9	Grindsted GIF	10	4	1	5	302	293	9
10	Lemvig-Thyboran	10	4	1	5	302	300	9
11	Koge	10	3	0	7	292	310	6
12	Odder Handbold	10	2	1	7	312	351	5
13	Stoholm Håndbold	10	1	0	9	259	337	2
14	AGF Aarhus	10	0	0	10	254	320	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HC Midtjylland	Team Sydhavsoerne
Stoholm Håndbold	33-29 W	34-21 W
Grindsted GIF	32-30 W	32-26 W
Norddjurs Handbold	37-34 W	30-24 W
Elitesport Vendsyssel	31-28 W	32-34 L
TM Tonder	25-26 L	26-30 L
Koge	30-27 W	29-26 W
Odder Handbold	32-39 L	40-28 W
Lemvig-Thyboran	32-26 W	37-34 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Team Sydhavsoerne (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HC Midtjylland

WWWLWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Stoholm Håndbold Denmark 1st Division	33-29	W
24/10	Grindsted GIF Denmark 1st Division	32-30	W
17/10	Norddjurs Handbold Denmark 1st Division	37-34	W
10/10	Elitesport Vendsyssel Denmark 1st Division	31-28	W
02/10	TM Tonder Denmark 1st Division	25-26	L
26/09	Koge Denmark 1st Division	30-27	W
19/09	Odder Handbold Denmark 1st Division	32-39	L
11/09	Rækker Mølle Denmark 1st Division	28-27	W
04/09	Aarhus HC Denmark 1st Division	32-28	W
29/08	Lemvig-Thyboran Denmark 1st Division	32-26	W

Team Sydhavsoerne

WWLLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	HOJ Elite Denmark 1st Division	29-31	L
24/10	AGF Aarhus Denmark 1st Division	29-26	W
17/10	Lemvig-Thyboran Denmark 1st Division	37-34	W
11/10	Stoholm Håndbold Denmark 1st Division	34-21	W
03/10	Grindsted GIF Denmark 1st Division	32-26	W
26/09	Norddjurs Handbold Denmark 1st Division	30-24	W
20/09	Elitesport Vendsyssel Denmark 1st Division	32-34	L
13/09	TM Tonder Denmark 1st Division	26-30	L
04/09	Koge Denmark 1st Division	29-26	W
29/08	Odder Handbold Denmark 1st Division	40-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HC Midtjylland vs Team Sydhavsoerne?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (HC Midtjylland 61% · Team Sydhavsoerne 39%).

How many points are expected in HC Midtjylland vs Team Sydhavsoerne?

The model estimates 60.5 total points (HC Midtjylland 30.2 · Team Sydhavsoerne 30.3).

Over or under 62.5 points?

Recent history points to under 62.5 points (75%).