Handball · Austria HLA · 12/09, 18:00

Prediction: Handball Tirol vs UHK Krems

Team pages: Handball Tirol · UHK Krems

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.1Total

Handball Tirol29.8

UHK Krems30.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

60% 40%

Handball Tirol UHK Krems

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 61.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Handball Tirol 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWLWLLWW

UHK Krems 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWDWLL

Head-to-head

Handball Tirol 3–3 UHK Krems (6 last)

Handball Tirol37-35UHK Krems
UHK Krems28-25Handball Tirol
UHK Krems26-33Handball Tirol
Handball Tirol38-35UHK Krems
UHK Krems38-26Handball Tirol
UHK Krems36-33Handball Tirol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Handball Tirol 1489 · UHK Krems 1532

	Handball Tirol	UHK Krems
Our model	54%	46%
Market	57%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 60.1 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -1.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.1Handball Tirol 29.8 · UHK Krems 30.3

Over / Under 61.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~59.8 pts · strength 2

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Handball Tirol	UHK Krems
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30 / 29.3	31 / 30.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.6 / 29	31.2 / 29.8
Est. result	30	30

Est. total60.1

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1.4

Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 1.05 · Est. total: 60.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
07:47 +61’	1.60	8.50	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Handball Tirol 3–0–3 UHK Krems

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Austria HLA	Handball Tirol	37-35	UHK Krems
22/10/25 Austria HLA	UHK Krems	28-25	Handball Tirol
30/08/25 Austria Super Cup	UHK Krems	26-33	Handball Tirol
05/04/25 Austria HLA	Handball Tirol	38-35	UHK Krems
15/11/24 Austria HLA	UHK Krems	38-26	Handball Tirol
30/03/24 Austria HLA	UHK Krems	36-33	Handball Tirol

Standings · Austria HLA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fivers WAT Margareten	2	2	0	76	59	4
2	SC Ferlach	2	2	0	62	54	4
3	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	1	1	0	30	25	2
4	HSG Graz	1	1	0	35	32	2
5	BT Fuchse	1	1	0	35	33	2
6	Handball Tirol	1	1	0	31	30	2
7	Voslauer HC	1	0	1	30	31	0
8	Bregenz Handball	1	0	1	32	34	0
9	UHK Krems	1	0	1	32	35	0
10	Alpla HC Hard	2	0	2	59	63	0
11	HC Linz AG	1	0	1	28	34	0
12	WAT Atzgersdorf	2	0	2	52	72	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Handball Tirol	UHK Krems
Voslauer HC	31-30 W	29-33 L
HSG Graz	24-25 L	32-35 L
Bregenz Handball	33-34 L	35-28 W
Fivers WAT Margareten	28-32 L	26-31 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Handball Tirol (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Handball Tirol

DLLWLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/09	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	31-30	W
03/06	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	34-28	W
29/05	HSG Graz Austria HLA	24-25	L
23/05	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	33-34	L
09/05	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	36-28	W
05/05	HSG Graz Austria HLA	23-27	L
01/05	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	39-36	W
18/04	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	28-32	L
15/04	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	21-22	L
11/04	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	31-31	D

UHK Krems

LWWLLWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	HSG Graz Austria HLA	32-35	L
09/05	SC Ferlach Austria HLA	27-31	L
06/05	SC Ferlach Austria HLA	35-23	W
02/05	SC Ferlach Austria HLA	31-31	D
18/04	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	31-29	W
15/04	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	26-31	L
11/04	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	29-33	L
27/03	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	35-28	W
14/03	HSG Graz Austria HLA	29-28	W
07/03	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	35-37	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Handball Tirol vs UHK Krems?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Handball Tirol 60% · UHK Krems 40%).

How many points are expected in Handball Tirol vs UHK Krems?

The model estimates 60.1 total points (Handball Tirol 29.8 · UHK Krems 30.3).

Over or under 61.5 points?

Recent history points to under 61.5 points (65%).