Handball · Austria HLA · 14/11, 19:00

Prediction: SC Ferlach vs Fivers WAT Margareten

Team pages: SC Ferlach · Fivers WAT Margareten

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.8Total

SC Ferlach30.5

Fivers WAT Margareten31.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

SC Ferlach Fivers WAT Margareten

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

SC Ferlach 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LWWDWDDDWW

Fivers WAT Margareten 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWLWL

Head-to-head

SC Ferlach 3–1–2 Fivers WAT Margareten (6 last)

SC Ferlach33-31Fivers WAT Margareten
Fivers WAT Margareten24-29SC Ferlach
Fivers WAT Margareten30-28SC Ferlach
SC Ferlach32-32Fivers WAT Margareten
Fivers WAT Margareten32-33SC Ferlach
SC Ferlach30-34Fivers WAT Margareten

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Ferlach 1529 · Fivers WAT Margareten 1541

	SC Ferlach	Fivers WAT Margareten
Our model	58%	42%
Market	49%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 61.8 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.8SC Ferlach 30.5 · Fivers WAT Margareten 31.3

Match keys

H2H favours SC Ferlach: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SC Ferlach	Fivers WAT Margareten
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.8 / 27.1	34.3 / 31.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.2 / 27.6	33.2 / 32
Est. result	31	31

Est. total61.8

Line O/U60.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X8.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 60.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
08:08 +8’	1.85	8.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Ferlach 3–1–2 Fivers WAT Margareten

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Austria HLA	SC Ferlach	33-31	Fivers WAT Margareten
11/11/25 Austria HLA	Fivers WAT Margareten	24-29	SC Ferlach
29/03/25 Austria HLA	Fivers WAT Margareten	30-28	SC Ferlach
02/11/24 Austria HLA	SC Ferlach	32-32	Fivers WAT Margareten
15/12/23 Austria HLA	Fivers WAT Margareten	32-33	SC Ferlach
05/09/23 Austria HLA	SC Ferlach	30-34	Fivers WAT Margareten

Standings · Austria HLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC Ferlach	9	5	4	0	268	247	14
2	Handball Tirol	9	6	0	3	279	259	12
3	Fivers WAT Margareten	9	6	0	3	312	284	12
4	Voslauer HC	9	5	0	4	266	254	10
5	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	9	4	2	3	263	251	10
6	BT Fuchse	9	5	0	4	278	275	10
7	Bregenz Handball	10	4	1	5	321	318	9
8	Alpla HC Hard	9	4	0	5	283	275	8
9	HC Linz AG	9	4	0	5	266	272	8
10	HSG Graz	9	4	0	5	286	298	8
11	UHK Krems	10	3	2	5	296	309	8
12	WAT Atzgersdorf	9	0	1	8	235	311	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Ferlach	Fivers WAT Margareten
Handball Tirol	26-25 W	32-34 L
HSG Graz	36-29 W	37-34 W
HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	30-30 D	32-34 L
UHK Krems	26-26 D	33-29 W
WAT Atzgersdorf	28-28 D	42-27 W
Voslauer HC	27-22 W	26-32 L
Bregenz Handball	33-33 D	34-32 W
Alpla HC Hard	28-26 W	38-31 W
Record vs common	4 W 4 D 0 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Ferlach

LWWDWDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	26-25	W
27/10	HSG Graz Austria HLA	36-29	W
21/10	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat Austria HLA	30-30	D
10/10	UHK Krems Austria HLA	26-26	D
03/10	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	28-28	D
26/09	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	27-22	W
19/09	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	33-33	D
09/09	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	28-26	W
05/09	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	34-28	W
27/05	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	20-24	L

Fivers WAT Margareten

LWWLWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat Austria HLA	32-34	L
28/10	UHK Krems Austria HLA	33-29	W
21/10	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	26-32	L
10/10	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	38-31	W
07/10	HSG Graz Austria HLA	37-34	W
03/10	BT Fuchse Austria HLA	38-31	W
26/09	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	32-34	L
09/09	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	42-27	W
05/09	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	34-32	W
06/06	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	31-32	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Ferlach vs Fivers WAT Margareten?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (SC Ferlach 57% · Fivers WAT Margareten 43%).

How many points are expected in SC Ferlach vs Fivers WAT Margareten?

The model estimates 61.8 total points (SC Ferlach 30.5 · Fivers WAT Margareten 31.3).