Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen Women · 11/11, 18:30

Prediction: HOJ (W) vs Viborg HK (W)

Team pages: HOJ (W) · Viborg HK (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56.4Total

HOJ (W)27.2

Viborg HK (W)29.1

1X2

32% 68%

HOJ (W) Viborg HK (W)

Markets

Over 55.5 points 67%

Recent form · 10 last

HOJ (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWLLL

Viborg HK (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLDLWL

Head-to-head

HOJ (W) 1–2 Viborg HK (W) (3 last)

Viborg HK (W)27-29HOJ (W)
HOJ (W)22-36Viborg HK (W)
HOJ (W)20-30Viborg HK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HOJ (W) 1477 · Viborg HK (W) 1551

	HOJ (W)	Viborg HK (W)
Our model	49%	51%
Market	19%	72%

Estimated total (ours) 56.4 points · Bet365 line 55.5 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56.4HOJ (W) 27.2 · Viborg HK (W) 29.1

Over / Under 55.5Over · 67%recent trend · ~53 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viborg HK (W) (rating 1477 vs 1551).
Viborg HK (W) is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours Viborg HK (W): 2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HOJ (W)	Viborg HK (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.7 / 28.1	29.4 / 27.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	25.2 / 26.8	27.6 / 32
Est. result	27	29

Est. total56.4

Line O/U55.5

Diff.0.9

Over / Under67% / 33%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.00

X10.00

21.32

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.88

2 (-3.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 55.51.88

Under 55.51.88

Diff.: 1.05 · Est. total: 56.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:05 +10’	5.00	10.00	1.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HOJ (W) 1–0–2 Viborg HK (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/03/26 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Viborg HK (W)	27-29	HOJ (W)
03/01/26 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	HOJ (W)	22-36	Viborg HK (W)
10/08/25 Club Friendlies Women	HOJ (W)	20-30	Viborg HK (W)

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Team Esbjerg (W)	9	9	0	0	313	234	18
2	Odense Handbold (W)	9	7	1	1	296	232	15
3	Herning-Ikast (W)	9	6	1	2	278	227	13
4	Nykobing FH (W)	9	6	1	2	278	230	13
5	Kobenhavn Handbold (W)	9	6	0	3	262	262	12
6	Viborg HK (W)	9	4	1	4	262	256	9
7	Elite (W)	9	4	1	4	242	262	9
8	HOJ (W)	9	4	0	5	237	250	8
9	SonderjyskE (W)	9	3	1	5	266	277	7
10	Silkeborg Voel (W)	9	3	0	6	258	277	6
11	NordVestjysk Elite (W)	9	3	0	6	248	268	6
12	Ringkobing (W)	9	3	0	6	280	291	6
13	Skanderborg (W)	9	1	0	8	190	278	2
14	EH Aalborg (W)	9	1	0	8	221	287	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HOJ (W)	Viborg HK (W)
NordVestjysk Elite (W)	24-32 L	29-28 W
Odense Handbold (W)	22-28 L	24-33 L
Nykobing FH (W)	19-30 L	30-30 D
Ringkobing (W)	34-28 W	28-35 L
Skanderborg (W)	27-16 W	37-20 W
Herning-Ikast (W)	20-32 L	25-30 L
Silkeborg Voel (W)	31-26 W	29-25 W
Elite (W)	30-34 L	33-21 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Viborg HK (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HOJ (W)

WWLWLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/11	NordVestjysk Elite (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	24-32	L
31/10	Odense Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	22-28	L
14/10	Nykobing FH (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	19-30	L
10/10	Ringkobing (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	34-28	W
03/10	Skanderborg (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	27-16	W
10/09	Herning-Ikast (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	20-32	L
06/09	Silkeborg Voel (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	31-26	W
29/08	Elite (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	30-34	L
26/08	EH Aalborg (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	30-24	W
03/05	Silkeborg Voel (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	40-31	W

Viborg HK (W)

WWWLWLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/11	Team Esbjerg (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	27-34	L
31/10	NordVestjysk Elite (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	29-28	W
14/10	Odense Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	24-33	L
07/10	Nykobing FH (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	30-30	D
30/09	Ringkobing (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	28-35	L
13/09	Skanderborg (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	37-20	W
01/09	Herning-Ikast (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	25-30	L
30/08	Silkeborg Voel (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	29-25	W
26/08	Elite (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	33-21	W
09/05	Elite (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	32-23	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HOJ (W) vs Viborg HK (W)?

Our model gives 68% to Viborg HK (W).

How many points are expected in HOJ (W) vs Viborg HK (W)?

The model estimates 56.4 total points (HOJ (W) 27.2 · Viborg HK (W) 29.1).

Over or under 55.5 points?

Recent history points to over 55.5 points (67%).