Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen Women · 10/11, 20:00

Prediction: Team Esbjerg (W) vs Herning-Ikast (W)

Team pages: Team Esbjerg (W) · Herning-Ikast (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.6Total

Team Esbjerg (W)31.5

Herning-Ikast (W)27.1

1X2

86% 14%

Team Esbjerg (W) Herning-Ikast (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Team Esbjerg (W) 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Herning-Ikast (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWWDL

Head-to-head

Team Esbjerg (W) 5–1 Herning-Ikast (W) (6 last)

Herning-Ikast (W)26-29Team Esbjerg (W)
Team Esbjerg (W)37-21Herning-Ikast (W)
Team Esbjerg (W)41-34Herning-Ikast (W)
Herning-Ikast (W)23-36Team Esbjerg (W)
Team Esbjerg (W)29-34Herning-Ikast (W)
Herning-Ikast (W)26-32Team Esbjerg (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Team Esbjerg (W) 1659 · Herning-Ikast (W) 1521

	Team Esbjerg (W)	Herning-Ikast (W)
Our model	77%	23%
Market	89%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 58.6 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -2.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.6Team Esbjerg (W) 31.5 · Herning-Ikast (W) 27.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Team Esbjerg (W) (rating 1659 vs 1521).
Team Esbjerg (W) is a clear favourite (86% market).
H2H favours Team Esbjerg (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Team Esbjerg (W)	Herning-Ikast (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.8 / 26.3	30.2 / 25.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34.8 / 26	31.2 / 24.8
Est. result	32	27

Est. total58.6

Line O/U61.5

Diff.2.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.07

X20.00

214.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.88

2 (+7.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 61.52.00

Under 61.51.78

Diff.: 3.15 · Est. total: 58.35

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 08:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.07▼	Bet365 1.07
X	13.00 → 20.00▲	Bet365 20.00
2	7.00 → 14.00▲	Bet365 14.00

See the full journey (6)

Bet365 margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:43 +32’	1.20	13.00	7.00
18:11 +4’	1.16▼	14.00▲	8.00▲
19:05 +10’	1.20▲	13.00▼	7.00▼
20:09 +6’	1.16▼	14.00▲	8.00▲
01:41 +34’	1.09▼	18.00▲	12.00▲
08:08 +7’	1.07▼	20.00▲	14.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Team Esbjerg (W) 5–0–1 Herning-Ikast (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/05/26 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Herning-Ikast (W)	26-29	Team Esbjerg (W)
13/05/26 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Team Esbjerg (W)	37-21	Herning-Ikast (W)
11/03/26 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Team Esbjerg (W)	41-34	Herning-Ikast (W)
06/11/25 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Herning-Ikast (W)	23-36	Team Esbjerg (W)
16/05/25 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Team Esbjerg (W)	29-34	Herning-Ikast (W)
30/04/25 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Herning-Ikast (W)	26-32	Team Esbjerg (W)

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Team Esbjerg (W)	9	9	0	0	313	234	18
2	Odense Handbold (W)	9	7	1	1	296	232	15
3	Herning-Ikast (W)	9	6	1	2	278	227	13
4	Nykobing FH (W)	9	6	1	2	278	230	13
5	Kobenhavn Handbold (W)	9	6	0	3	262	262	12
6	Viborg HK (W)	9	4	1	4	262	256	9
7	Elite (W)	9	4	1	4	242	262	9
8	HOJ (W)	9	4	0	5	237	250	8
9	SonderjyskE (W)	9	3	1	5	266	277	7
10	Silkeborg Voel (W)	9	3	0	6	258	277	6
11	NordVestjysk Elite (W)	9	3	0	6	248	268	6
12	Ringkobing (W)	9	3	0	6	280	291	6
13	Skanderborg (W)	9	1	0	8	190	278	2
14	EH Aalborg (W)	9	1	0	8	221	287	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Team Esbjerg (W)	Herning-Ikast (W)
Viborg HK (W)	34-27 W	30-25 W
Silkeborg Voel (W)	40-26 W	29-30 L
NordVestjysk Elite (W)	37-31 W	32-26 W
Elite (W)	37-23 W	31-31 D
Odense Handbold (W)	26-23 W	28-32 L
EH Aalborg (W)	38-22 W	31-21 W
Nykobing FH (W)	31-29 W	24-27 L
Kobenhavn Handbold (W)	37-25 W	30-22 W
Record vs common	8 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Team Esbjerg (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Team Esbjerg (W)

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/11	Viborg HK (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	34-27	W
01/11	Silkeborg Voel (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	40-26	W
14/10	NordVestjysk Elite (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	37-31	W
07/10	Elite (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	37-23	W
30/09	Odense Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	26-23	W
09/09	EH Aalborg (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	38-22	W
02/09	Nykobing FH (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	31-29	W
29/08	Kobenhavn Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	37-25	W
26/08	Ringkobing (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	33-28	W
02/06	Odense Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	35-29	W

Herning-Ikast (W)

LLWWWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/11	Silkeborg Voel (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	29-30	L
01/11	Elite (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	31-31	D
15/10	EH Aalborg (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	31-21	W
09/10	Kobenhavn Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	30-22	W
04/10	SonderjyskE (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	35-20	W
10/09	HOJ (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	32-20	W
01/09	Viborg HK (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	30-25	W
29/08	NordVestjysk Elite (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	32-26	W
26/08	Odense Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	28-32	L
02/06	Nykobing FH (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	24-27	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Team Esbjerg (W) vs Herning-Ikast (W)?

Our model gives 86% to Team Esbjerg (W).

How many points are expected in Team Esbjerg (W) vs Herning-Ikast (W)?

The model estimates 58.6 total points (Team Esbjerg (W) 31.5 · Herning-Ikast (W) 27.1).