Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen Women · 30/09, 19:00

Prediction: Elite (W) vs EH Aalborg (W)

Team pages: Elite (W) · EH Aalborg (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.1Total

Elite (W)29.3

EH Aalborg (W)27.8

1X2

66% 34%

Elite (W) EH Aalborg (W)

Markets

Over 54.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Elite (W) 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWLL

EH Aalborg (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Elite (W) 2–1–3 EH Aalborg (W) (6 last)

Elite (W)27-31EH Aalborg (W)
EH Aalborg (W)33-28Elite (W)
EH Aalborg (W)27-30Elite (W)
Elite (W)27-27EH Aalborg (W)
Elite (W)30-24EH Aalborg (W)
EH Aalborg (W)22-17Elite (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elite (W) 1406 · EH Aalborg (W) 1444

	Elite (W)	EH Aalborg (W)
Our model	55%	45%
Market	66%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 57.1 points · Bet365 line 54.5 · +2.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.1Elite (W) 29.3 · EH Aalborg (W) 27.8

Over / Under 54.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~57.9 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Elite (W) is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours EH Aalborg (W): 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Elite (W)	EH Aalborg (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	25.2 / 30.8	26.3 / 32.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	25.6 / 30	25.6 / 33.2
Est. result	29	28

Est. total57.1

Line O/U54.5

Diff.2.6

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.42

X9.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 54.51.80

Under 54.51.95

Diff.: 2.8 · Est. total: 57.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:55 +2’	1.42	9.00	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Elite (W) 2–1–3 EH Aalborg (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/03/26 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Elite (W)	27-31	EH Aalborg (W)
04/11/25 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	EH Aalborg (W)	33-28	Elite (W)
15/02/25 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	EH Aalborg (W)	27-30	Elite (W)
12/10/24 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Elite (W)	27-27	EH Aalborg (W)
17/01/20 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Elite (W)	30-24	EH Aalborg (W)
07/09/19 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	EH Aalborg (W)	22-17	Elite (W)

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Odense Handbold (W)	4	4	0	141	98	8
2	Team Esbjerg (W)	4	4	0	139	104	8
3	Herning-Ikast (W)	4	3	1	122	103	6
4	Kobenhavn Handbold (W)	4	3	1	119	116	6
5	Viborg HK (W)	4	3	1	124	96	6
6	Silkeborg Voel (W)	4	2	2	113	115	4
7	HOJ (W)	4	2	2	111	116	4
8	Nykobing FH (W)	4	2	2	117	110	4
9	SonderjyskE (W)	4	2	2	123	113	4
10	NordVestjysk Elite (W)	4	2	2	113	113	4
11	Elite (W)	4	1	3	105	118	2
12	Ringkobing (W)	4	0	4	118	138	0
13	EH Aalborg (W)	4	0	4	97	140	0
14	Skanderborg (W)	4	0	4	81	143	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Elite (W)	EH Aalborg (W)
Kobenhavn Handbold (W)	29-30 L	21-34 L
SonderjyskE (W)	21-25 L	30-38 L
HOJ (W)	34-30 W	24-30 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Elite (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elite (W)

LLLLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/09	Kobenhavn Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	29-30	L
02/09	SonderjyskE (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	21-25	L
29/08	HOJ (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	34-30	W
26/08	Viborg HK (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	21-33	L
09/05	Viborg HK (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	23-32	L
05/05	Odense Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	31-34	L
02/05	Herning-Ikast (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	23-31	L
29/04	Viborg HK (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	27-31	L
22/04	Herning-Ikast (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	22-32	L
16/04	Odense Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	21-30	L

EH Aalborg (W)

LLLWLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/09	Team Esbjerg (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	22-38	L
05/09	Kobenhavn Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	21-34	L
29/08	SonderjyskE (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	30-38	L
26/08	HOJ (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	24-30	L
17/05	Ajax Kobenhavn (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	31-26	W
13/05	Ajax Kobenhavn (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	21-23	L
09/05	Ajax Kobenhavn (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	28-25	W
03/05	Skanderborg (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	33-39	L
29/04	Ringkobing (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	28-34	L
22/04	HOJ (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	25-36	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elite (W) vs EH Aalborg (W)?

Our model gives 66% to Elite (W).

How many points are expected in Elite (W) vs EH Aalborg (W)?

The model estimates 57.1 total points (Elite (W) 29.3 · EH Aalborg (W) 27.8).

Over or under 54.5 points?

Recent history points to over 54.5 points (65%).