Handball · Serbia Superliga Women · 28/10, 17:00

Prediction: Crvena Zvezda (W) vs GZRK Napredak 12 (W)

Team pages: Crvena Zvezda (W) · GZRK Napredak 12 (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56.9Total

Crvena Zvezda (W)31.4

GZRK Napredak 12 (W)25.4

1X2

85% 15%

Crvena Zvezda (W) GZRK Napredak 12 (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Crvena Zvezda (W) 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

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GZRK Napredak 12 (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Crvena Zvezda (W) 6–0 GZRK Napredak 12 (W) (6 last)

GZRK Napredak 12 (W)29-35Crvena Zvezda (W)
Crvena Zvezda (W)39-26GZRK Napredak 12 (W)
GZRK Napredak 12 (W)28-38Crvena Zvezda (W)
Crvena Zvezda (W)41-26GZRK Napredak 12 (W)
GZRK Napredak 12 (W)24-36Crvena Zvezda (W)
Crvena Zvezda (W)36-25GZRK Napredak 12 (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Crvena Zvezda (W) 1602 · GZRK Napredak 12 (W) 1497

	Crvena Zvezda (W)	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)
Our model	73%	27%
Market	87%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 56.9 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -2.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56.9Crvena Zvezda (W) 31.4 · GZRK Napredak 12 (W) 25.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crvena Zvezda (W) (rating 1602 vs 1497).
Crvena Zvezda (W) is a clear favourite (85% market).
H2H favours Crvena Zvezda (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Crvena Zvezda (W)	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.1 / 23.2	27.4 / 28
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 23	25.4 / 26.6
Est. result	31	25

Est. total56.9

Line O/U59.5

Diff.2.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.04

X16.00

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.85

2 (+8.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 4.15 · Est. total: 55.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.04	Bet365 1.04
X	16.00 → 16.00	Bet365 16.00
2	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:13 +3’	1.04	16.00	12.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Crvena Zvezda (W) 6–0–0 GZRK Napredak 12 (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/04/26 Serbia Superliga Women	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)	29-35	Crvena Zvezda (W)
05/11/25 Serbia Superliga Women	Crvena Zvezda (W)	39-26	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)
02/04/25 Serbia Superliga Women	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)	28-38	Crvena Zvezda (W)
18/01/25 Serbia Superliga Women	Crvena Zvezda (W)	41-26	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)
15/11/23 Serbia Superliga Women	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)	24-36	Crvena Zvezda (W)
17/09/23 Serbia Superliga Women	Crvena Zvezda (W)	36-25	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)

Standings · Serbia Superliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Radnicki Kragujevac (W)	5	5	0	0	153	104	10
2	ZRK Bor (W)	4	4	0	0	127	103	8
3	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)	5	3	1	1	127	133	7
4	Crvena Zvezda (W)	3	3	0	0	93	68	6
5	HC Naisa Nis (W)	4	3	0	1	119	105	6
6	ZRK Bukovicka Banja (W)	5	2	0	3	122	128	4
7	ZRK Partizan (W)	5	2	0	3	132	147	4
8	ZRK Ruma (W)	3	1	1	1	83	79	3
9	RK Vojvodina (W)	5	1	1	3	140	152	3
10	ZRK Temerin (W)	5	0	1	4	123	153	1
11	Jagodina (W)	3	0	0	3	61	81	0
12	Mladost NP (W)	5	0	0	5	106	133	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Crvena Zvezda (W)	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)
HC Naisa Nis (W)	25-21 W	29-34 L
Jagodina (W)	29-18 W	25-24 W
RK Vojvodina (W)	39-29 W	29-40 L
Mladost NP (W)	35-25 W	26-23 W
ZRK Ruma (W)	30-24 W	31-35 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Crvena Zvezda (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Crvena Zvezda (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	HC Naisa Nis (W) Serbia Superliga Women	25-21	W
16/09	Jagodina (W) Serbia Superliga Women	29-18	W
12/09	RK Vojvodina (W) Serbia Superliga Women	39-29	W
24/05	HC Naisa Nis (W) Serbia Superliga Women	25-19	W
18/05	HC Naisa Nis (W) Serbia Superliga Women	32-28	W
11/05	Mladost NP (W) Serbia Superliga Women	35-25	W
30/04	Mladost NP (W) Serbia Superliga Women	34-21	W
26/04	ZRK Zeleznicar (W) Serbia Superliga Women	37-18	W
19/04	ZRK Ruma (W) Serbia Superliga Women	30-24	W
15/04	GZRK Napredak 12 (W) Serbia Superliga Women	35-29	W

GZRK Napredak 12 (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	Jagodina (W) Serbia Superliga Women	25-24	W
09/10	RK Vojvodina (W) Serbia Superliga Women	29-40	L
03/10	Mladost NP (W) Serbia Superliga Women	26-23	W
16/09	ZRK Temerin (W) Serbia Superliga Women	24-24	D
13/09	ZRK Partizan (W) Serbia Superliga Women	23-22	W
16/05	ZRK Ruma (W) Serbia Superliga Women	31-35	L
09/05	Jagodina (W) Serbia Superliga Women	26-22	W
02/05	ZRK Bukovicka Banja (W) Serbia Superliga Women	31-30	W
25/04	ZRK Ruma (W) Serbia Superliga Women	30-26	W
18/04	HC Naisa Nis (W) Serbia Superliga Women	29-34	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Crvena Zvezda (W) vs GZRK Napredak 12 (W)?

Our model gives 85% to Crvena Zvezda (W).

How many points are expected in Crvena Zvezda (W) vs GZRK Napredak 12 (W)?

The model estimates 56.9 total points (Crvena Zvezda (W) 31.4 · GZRK Napredak 12 (W) 25.4).