Handball · Serbia Superliga Women · 14/10, 19:30

Prediction: GZRK Napredak 12 (W) vs Jagodina (W)

Team pages: GZRK Napredak 12 (W) · Jagodina (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

52.3Total

GZRK Napredak 12 (W)26.2

Jagodina (W)26.1

1X2

62% 38%

GZRK Napredak 12 (W) Jagodina (W)

Recent form · 10 last

GZRK Napredak 12 (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Jagodina (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

GZRK Napredak 12 (W) 2–4 Jagodina (W) (6 last)

GZRK Napredak 12 (W)26-22Jagodina (W)
Jagodina (W)24-28GZRK Napredak 12 (W)
GZRK Napredak 12 (W)26-32Jagodina (W)
GZRK Napredak 12 (W)25-33Jagodina (W)
Jagodina (W)28-24GZRK Napredak 12 (W)
GZRK Napredak 12 (W)22-28Jagodina (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GZRK Napredak 12 (W) 1495 · Jagodina (W) 1490

	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)	Jagodina (W)
Our model	61%	39%
Market	56%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 52.3 points · Bet365 line 49.5 · +2.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points52.3GZRK Napredak 12 (W) 26.2 · Jagodina (W) 26.1

Match keys

H2H favours Jagodina (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)	Jagodina (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.8 / 29.1	22.8 / 24.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	26.6 / 28.8	21.8 / 24.2
Est. result	26	26

Est. total52.3

Line O/U49.5

Diff.2.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.00

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 49.51.85

Under 49.51.85

Diff.: 2.55 · Est. total: 52.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:10 +7’	1.60	8.00	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · GZRK Napredak 12 (W) 2–0–4 Jagodina (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Serbia Superliga Women	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)	26-22	Jagodina (W)
03/04/26 Serbia Superliga Women	Jagodina (W)	24-28	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)
01/11/25 Serbia Superliga Women	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)	26-32	Jagodina (W)
25/01/25 Serbia Superliga Women	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)	25-33	Jagodina (W)
06/09/24 Serbia Superliga Women	Jagodina (W)	28-24	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)
20/01/24 Serbia Superliga Women	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)	22-28	Jagodina (W)

Standings · Serbia Superliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Radnicki Kragujevac (W)	4	4	0	0	124	84	8
2	ZRK Bor (W)	3	3	0	0	89	68	6
3	HC Naisa Nis (W)	3	3	0	0	98	80	6
4	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)	4	2	1	1	102	109	5
5	Crvena Zvezda (W)	2	2	0	0	68	47	4
6	ZRK Ruma (W)	2	1	1	0	48	41	3
7	RK Vojvodina (W)	4	1	1	2	120	123	3
8	ZRK Bukovicka Banja (W)	4	1	0	3	99	110	2
9	ZRK Partizan (W)	4	1	0	3	103	123	2
10	ZRK Temerin (W)	4	0	1	3	99	124	1
11	Jagodina (W)	2	0	0	2	37	56	0
12	Mladost NP (W)	4	0	0	4	88	110	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)	Jagodina (W)
ZRK Temerin (W)	24-24 D	27-28 L
ZRK Partizan (W)	23-22 W	23-22 W
ZRK Ruma (W)	31-35 L	24-20 W
ZRK Bukovicka Banja (W)	31-30 W	26-19 W
HC Naisa Nis (W)	29-34 L	22-21 W
Crvena Zvezda (W)	29-35 L	18-29 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Jagodina (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GZRK Napredak 12 (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	RK Vojvodina (W) Serbia Superliga Women	29-40	L
03/10	Mladost NP (W) Serbia Superliga Women	26-23	W
16/09	ZRK Temerin (W) Serbia Superliga Women	24-24	D
13/09	ZRK Partizan (W) Serbia Superliga Women	23-22	W
16/05	ZRK Ruma (W) Serbia Superliga Women	31-35	L
09/05	Jagodina (W) Serbia Superliga Women	26-22	W
02/05	ZRK Bukovicka Banja (W) Serbia Superliga Women	31-30	W
25/04	ZRK Ruma (W) Serbia Superliga Women	30-26	W
18/04	HC Naisa Nis (W) Serbia Superliga Women	29-34	L
15/04	Crvena Zvezda (W) Serbia Superliga Women	29-35	L

Jagodina (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/09	Crvena Zvezda (W) Serbia Superliga Women	18-29	L
12/09	ZRK Bor (W) Serbia Superliga Women	19-27	L
16/05	ZRK Bukovicka Banja (W) Serbia Superliga Women	26-19	W
09/05	GZRK Napredak 12 (W) Serbia Superliga Women	22-26	L
30/04	ZRK Ruma (W) Serbia Superliga Women	24-20	W
25/04	ZRK Temerin (W) Serbia Superliga Women	27-28	L
20/04	ZRK Partizan (W) Serbia Superliga Women	23-22	W
15/04	HC Naisa Nis (W) Serbia Superliga Women	22-21	W
03/04	GZRK Napredak 12 (W) Serbia Superliga Women	24-28	L
23/03	ZRK Bor (W) Serbia Superliga Women	23-24	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GZRK Napredak 12 (W) vs Jagodina (W)?

Our model gives 62% to GZRK Napredak 12 (W).

How many points are expected in GZRK Napredak 12 (W) vs Jagodina (W)?

The model estimates 52.3 total points (GZRK Napredak 12 (W) 26.2 · Jagodina (W) 26.1).