Handball · Serbia Superliga Women · 14/10, 18:00

Prediction: HC Naisa Nis (W) vs Crvena Zvezda (W)

Team pages: HC Naisa Nis (W) · Crvena Zvezda (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

54.8Total

HC Naisa Nis (W)26.3

Crvena Zvezda (W)28.4

1X2

30% 70%

HC Naisa Nis (W) Crvena Zvezda (W)

Recent form · 10 last

HC Naisa Nis (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLWWW

Crvena Zvezda (W) 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

HC Naisa Nis (W) 0–1–5 Crvena Zvezda (W) (6 last)

HC Naisa Nis (W)19-25Crvena Zvezda (W)
Crvena Zvezda (W)32-28HC Naisa Nis (W)
Crvena Zvezda (W)31-26HC Naisa Nis (W)
HC Naisa Nis (W)24-28Crvena Zvezda (W)
HC Naisa Nis (W)23-23Crvena Zvezda (W)
HC Naisa Nis (W)23-32Crvena Zvezda (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HC Naisa Nis (W) 1560 · Crvena Zvezda (W) 1597

	HC Naisa Nis (W)	Crvena Zvezda (W)
Our model	55%	45%
Market	13%	79%

Estimated total (ours) 54.8 points · Bet365 line 53.5 · +1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points54.8HC Naisa Nis (W) 26.3 · Crvena Zvezda (W) 28.4

Match keys

Crvena Zvezda (W) is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours Crvena Zvezda (W): 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HC Naisa Nis (W)	Crvena Zvezda (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.3 / 26.1	32.7 / 22.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29 / 27.4	32 / 23.8
Est. result	26	28

Est. total54.8

Line O/U53.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

17.00

X11.00

21.14

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.85

2 (-5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 53.51.85

Under 53.51.85

Diff.: 1.5 · Est. total: 55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:11 +5’	7.00	11.00	1.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HC Naisa Nis (W) 0–1–5 Crvena Zvezda (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Serbia Superliga Women	HC Naisa Nis (W)	19-25	Crvena Zvezda (W)
18/05/26 Serbia Superliga Women	Crvena Zvezda (W)	32-28	HC Naisa Nis (W)
25/03/26 Serbia Superliga Women	Crvena Zvezda (W)	31-26	HC Naisa Nis (W)
11/02/26 Serbia Cup Women	HC Naisa Nis (W)	24-28	Crvena Zvezda (W)
07/10/25 Serbia Superliga Women	HC Naisa Nis (W)	23-23	Crvena Zvezda (W)
08/02/25 Serbia Superliga Women	HC Naisa Nis (W)	23-32	Crvena Zvezda (W)

Standings · Serbia Superliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Radnicki Kragujevac (W)	4	4	0	0	124	84	8
2	ZRK Bor (W)	3	3	0	0	89	68	6
3	HC Naisa Nis (W)	3	3	0	0	98	80	6
4	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)	4	2	1	1	102	109	5
5	Crvena Zvezda (W)	2	2	0	0	68	47	4
6	ZRK Ruma (W)	2	1	1	0	48	41	3
7	RK Vojvodina (W)	4	1	1	2	120	123	3
8	ZRK Bukovicka Banja (W)	4	1	0	3	99	110	2
9	ZRK Partizan (W)	4	1	0	3	103	123	2
10	ZRK Temerin (W)	4	0	1	3	99	124	1
11	Jagodina (W)	2	0	0	2	37	56	0
12	Mladost NP (W)	4	0	0	4	88	110	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HC Naisa Nis (W)	Crvena Zvezda (W)
RK Vojvodina (W)	30-26 W	39-29 W
Mladost NP (W)	32-26 W	35-25 W
GZRK Napredak 12 (W)	34-29 W	35-29 W
Jagodina (W)	21-22 L	29-18 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Crvena Zvezda (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HC Naisa Nis (W)

LWLWWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/09	RK Vojvodina (W) Serbia Superliga Women	30-26	W
16/09	Mladost NP (W) Serbia Superliga Women	32-26	W
13/09	ZRK Temerin (W) Serbia Superliga Women	36-28	W
24/05	Crvena Zvezda (W) Serbia Superliga Women	19-25	L
18/05	Crvena Zvezda (W) Serbia Superliga Women	28-32	L
08/05	ZRK Bor (W) Serbia Superliga Women	28-20	W
30/04	ZRK Bor (W) Serbia Superliga Women	25-22	W
26/04	ZRK Partizan (W) Serbia Superliga Women	30-31	L
18/04	GZRK Napredak 12 (W) Serbia Superliga Women	34-29	W
15/04	Jagodina (W) Serbia Superliga Women	21-22	L

Crvena Zvezda (W)

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/09	Jagodina (W) Serbia Superliga Women	29-18	W
12/09	RK Vojvodina (W) Serbia Superliga Women	39-29	W
24/05	HC Naisa Nis (W) Serbia Superliga Women	25-19	W
18/05	HC Naisa Nis (W) Serbia Superliga Women	32-28	W
11/05	Mladost NP (W) Serbia Superliga Women	35-25	W
30/04	Mladost NP (W) Serbia Superliga Women	34-21	W
26/04	ZRK Zeleznicar (W) Serbia Superliga Women	37-18	W
19/04	ZRK Ruma (W) Serbia Superliga Women	30-24	W
15/04	GZRK Napredak 12 (W) Serbia Superliga Women	35-29	W
03/04	ZRK Bukovicka Banja (W) Serbia Superliga Women	31-18	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HC Naisa Nis (W) vs Crvena Zvezda (W)?

Our model gives 70% to Crvena Zvezda (W).

How many points are expected in HC Naisa Nis (W) vs Crvena Zvezda (W)?

The model estimates 54.8 total points (HC Naisa Nis (W) 26.3 · Crvena Zvezda (W) 28.4).