Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 15/11, 16:30

Prediction: MT Melsungen vs SG BBM Bietigheim

Team pages: MT Melsungen · SG BBM Bietigheim

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.2Total

MT Melsungen31.9

SG BBM Bietigheim27.3

1X2

85% 15%

MT Melsungen SG BBM Bietigheim

Recent form · 10 last

MT Melsungen 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWLWWW

SG BBM Bietigheim 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLLL

Head-to-head

MT Melsungen 6–0 SG BBM Bietigheim (6 last)

SG BBM Bietigheim28-32MT Melsungen
MT Melsungen26-24SG BBM Bietigheim
SG BBM Bietigheim28-30MT Melsungen
MT Melsungen31-25SG BBM Bietigheim
MT Melsungen31-24SG BBM Bietigheim
SG BBM Bietigheim24-33MT Melsungen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MT Melsungen 1560 · SG BBM Bietigheim 1407

	MT Melsungen	SG BBM Bietigheim
Our model	78%	22%
Market	82%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 59.2 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.2MT Melsungen 31.9 · SG BBM Bietigheim 27.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MT Melsungen (rating 1560 vs 1407).
MT Melsungen is a clear favourite (85% market).
H2H favours MT Melsungen: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	MT Melsungen	SG BBM Bietigheim
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.4 / 27.1	28.8 / 33.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29 / 26.2	30.6 / 33.2
Est. result	32	27

Est. total59.2

Line O/U58.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.14

X13.00

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.88

2 (+5.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.88

Under 58.51.88

Diff.: 1.3 · Est. total: 59.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14
X	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:50 +27’	1.14	13.00	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MT Melsungen 6–0–0 SG BBM Bietigheim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/25 Germany Bundesliga	SG BBM Bietigheim	28-32	MT Melsungen
05/10/24 Germany Bundesliga	MT Melsungen	26-24	SG BBM Bietigheim
06/10/21 Germany DHB Pokal	SG BBM Bietigheim	28-30	MT Melsungen
18/08/19 Germany DHB Pokal	MT Melsungen	31-25	SG BBM Bietigheim
17/02/19 Germany Bundesliga	MT Melsungen	31-24	SG BBM Bietigheim
02/09/18 Germany Bundesliga	SG BBM Bietigheim	24-33	MT Melsungen

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	12	10	1	1	378	336	21
2	SC Magdeburg	11	10	0	1	363	317	20
3	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	11	9	1	1	378	336	19
4	MT Melsungen	11	7	1	3	335	304	15
5	Fuchse Berlin	10	7	0	3	338	315	14
6	Vfl Gummersbach	11	6	2	3	352	327	14
7	TBV Lemgo	11	7	0	4	338	339	14
8	HC Erlangen	11	6	1	4	342	340	13
9	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	11	5	2	4	319	319	12
10	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	11	5	1	5	333	332	11
11	Frisch Auf Goppingen	11	4	0	7	307	336	8
12	HSV Hamburg	11	3	1	7	327	334	7
13	Rhein Neckar Lowen	11	3	1	7	312	332	7
14	ThSV Eisenach	11	2	2	7	310	337	6
15	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	10	2	1	7	288	297	5
16	Bergischer HC	10	2	0	8	270	308	4
17	SG BBM Bietigheim	11	2	0	9	323	366	4
18	HSG Wetzlar	11	0	2	9	326	364	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MT Melsungen	SG BBM Bietigheim
HC Erlangen	32-33 L	34-35 L
TSV Hannover Burgdorf	28-22 W	29-31 L
SC Magdeburg	37-34 W	24-33 L
TVB 1898 Stuttgart	32-27 W	29-39 L
Frisch Auf Goppingen	31-18 W	29-25 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: MT Melsungen (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MT Melsungen

WDWWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	25-24	W
24/10	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany Bundesliga	27-26	W
17/10	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	33-26	W
11/10	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	32-33	L
03/10	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	28-22	W
26/09	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	28-30	L
20/09	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	37-34	W
13/09	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	32-27	W
05/09	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
02/09	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	31-18	W

SG BBM Bietigheim

LLLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	34-35	L
22/10	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	29-39	L
17/10	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	30-35	L
10/10	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	29-25	W
03/10	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	31-32	L
26/09	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	24-33	L
19/09	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	29-31	L
10/09	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	25-31	L
06/09	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	29-36	L
03/09	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	28-36	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MT Melsungen vs SG BBM Bietigheim?

Our model gives 85% to MT Melsungen.

How many points are expected in MT Melsungen vs SG BBM Bietigheim?

The model estimates 59.2 total points (MT Melsungen 31.9 · SG BBM Bietigheim 27.3).