Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 14/11, 20:00

Prediction: Bergischer HC vs ThSV Eisenach

Team pages: Bergischer HC · ThSV Eisenach

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.7Total

Bergischer HC29.1

ThSV Eisenach28.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

Bergischer HC ThSV Eisenach

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Bergischer HC 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLWL

ThSV Eisenach 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDWLLLWDLL

Head-to-head

Bergischer HC 3–3 ThSV Eisenach (6 last)

ThSV Eisenach33-31Bergischer HC
Bergischer HC27-26ThSV Eisenach
Bergischer HC27-30ThSV Eisenach
ThSV Eisenach31-30Bergischer HC
Bergischer HC38-24ThSV Eisenach
ThSV Eisenach21-25Bergischer HC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bergischer HC 1460 · ThSV Eisenach 1449

	Bergischer HC	ThSV Eisenach
Our model	61%	39%
Market	48%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 57.7 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -1.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.7Bergischer HC 29.1 · ThSV Eisenach 28.7

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Bergischer HC	ThSV Eisenach
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27 / 30.8	27.9 / 30.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	26.4 / 30.2	28.8 / 31.2
Est. result	29	29

Est. total57.7

Line O/U59.5

Diff.1.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

X7.50

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.88

Under 59.51.88

Diff.: 1.45 · Est. total: 58.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:16 +3’	1.95	7.50	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bergischer HC 3–0–3 ThSV Eisenach

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/02/26 Germany Bundesliga	ThSV Eisenach	33-31	Bergischer HC
11/12/25 Germany Bundesliga	Bergischer HC	27-26	ThSV Eisenach
07/04/24 Germany Bundesliga	Bergischer HC	27-30	ThSV Eisenach
26/08/23 Germany Bundesliga	ThSV Eisenach	31-30	Bergischer HC
17/03/18 Germany 2 Bundesliga	Bergischer HC	38-24	ThSV Eisenach
07/10/17 Germany 2 Bundesliga	ThSV Eisenach	21-25	Bergischer HC

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	12	10	1	1	378	336	21
2	SC Magdeburg	11	10	0	1	363	317	20
3	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	11	9	1	1	378	336	19
4	MT Melsungen	11	7	1	3	335	304	15
5	Fuchse Berlin	10	7	0	3	338	315	14
6	Vfl Gummersbach	11	6	2	3	352	327	14
7	TBV Lemgo	11	7	0	4	338	339	14
8	HC Erlangen	11	6	1	4	342	340	13
9	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	11	5	2	4	319	319	12
10	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	11	5	1	5	333	332	11
11	Frisch Auf Goppingen	11	4	0	7	307	336	8
12	HSV Hamburg	11	3	1	7	327	334	7
13	Rhein Neckar Lowen	11	3	1	7	312	332	7
14	ThSV Eisenach	11	2	2	7	310	337	6
15	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	10	2	1	7	288	297	5
16	Bergischer HC	10	2	0	8	270	308	4
17	SG BBM Bietigheim	11	2	0	9	323	366	4
18	HSG Wetzlar	11	0	2	9	326	364	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bergischer HC	ThSV Eisenach
HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	29-28 W	27-36 L
Vfl Gummersbach	30-38 L	28-28 D
Fuchse Berlin	26-37 L	29-32 L
HC Erlangen	28-29 L	19-28 L
Rhein Neckar Lowen	26-27 L	33-29 W
TVB 1898 Stuttgart	29-30 L	28-33 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bergischer HC

LLLLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	21-27	L
25/10	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	26-25	W
17/10	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	26-33	L
02/10	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany Bundesliga	29-28	W
27/09	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	30-38	L
20/09	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	26-37	L
13/09	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	28-29	L
05/09	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	26-27	L
02/09	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	29-34	L
28/08	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	29-30	L

ThSV Eisenach

LDWLLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	29-32	L
23/10	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	26-34	L
16/10	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	28-28	D
08/10	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	33-29	W
01/10	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	28-33	L
28/09	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	19-28	L
18/09	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	27-28	L
10/09	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	31-25	W
07/09	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
03/09	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany Bundesliga	27-36	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bergischer HC vs ThSV Eisenach?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Bergischer HC 57% · ThSV Eisenach 43%).

How many points are expected in Bergischer HC vs ThSV Eisenach?

The model estimates 57.7 total points (Bergischer HC 29.1 · ThSV Eisenach 28.7).