Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 14/11, 19:00

Prediction: HBW Balingen-Weilstetten vs HSG Wetzlar

Team pages: HSG Wetzlar

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.6Total

HBW Balingen-Weilstetten31.4

HSG Wetzlar29.2

1X2

62% 38%

HBW Balingen-Weilstetten HSG Wetzlar

Recent form · 10 last

HBW Balingen-Weilstetten 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLDLLL

HSG Wetzlar 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLLDLLLL

Head-to-head

HBW Balingen-Weilstetten 2–4 HSG Wetzlar (6 last)

HBW Balingen-Weilstetten34-32HSG Wetzlar
HSG Wetzlar16-21HBW Balingen-Weilstetten
HBW Balingen-Weilstetten27-30HSG Wetzlar
HSG Wetzlar35-24HBW Balingen-Weilstetten
HBW Balingen-Weilstetten24-28HSG Wetzlar
HSG Wetzlar33-21HBW Balingen-Weilstetten

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HBW Balingen-Weilstetten 1448 · HSG Wetzlar 1418

	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	HSG Wetzlar
Our model	64%	36%
Market	53%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 60.6 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.6HBW Balingen-Weilstetten 31.4 · HSG Wetzlar 29.2

Match keys

H2H favours HSG Wetzlar: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	HSG Wetzlar
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.8 / 29.7	29.3 / 32.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.4 / 31	28 / 31.2
Est. result	31	29

Est. total60.6

Line O/U58.5

Diff.2.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.80

X8.00

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.88

Under 58.51.88

Diff.: 1.85 · Est. total: 60.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.80▼	Bet365 1.80
X	7.50 → 8.00▲	Bet365 8.00
2	2.40 → 2.70▲	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:45 +31’	1.90	7.50	2.40
11:13 +3’	1.80▼	8.00▲	2.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · HBW Balingen-Weilstetten 2–0–4 HSG Wetzlar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/10/24 Germany DHB Pokal	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	34-32	HSG Wetzlar
15/02/24 Germany Bundesliga	HSG Wetzlar	16-21	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten
20/10/23 Germany Bundesliga	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	27-30	HSG Wetzlar
19/10/22 Germany DHB Pokal	HSG Wetzlar	35-24	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten
19/05/22 Germany Bundesliga	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	24-28	HSG Wetzlar
18/11/21 Germany Bundesliga	HSG Wetzlar	33-21	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	12	10	1	1	378	336	21
2	SC Magdeburg	11	10	0	1	363	317	20
3	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	11	9	1	1	378	336	19
4	MT Melsungen	11	7	1	3	335	304	15
5	Fuchse Berlin	10	7	0	3	338	315	14
6	Vfl Gummersbach	11	6	2	3	352	327	14
7	TBV Lemgo	11	7	0	4	338	339	14
8	HC Erlangen	11	6	1	4	342	340	13
9	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	11	5	2	4	319	319	12
10	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	11	5	1	5	333	332	11
11	Frisch Auf Goppingen	11	4	0	7	307	336	8
12	HSV Hamburg	11	3	1	7	327	334	7
13	Rhein Neckar Lowen	11	3	1	7	312	332	7
14	ThSV Eisenach	11	2	2	7	310	337	6
15	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	10	2	1	7	288	297	5
16	Bergischer HC	10	2	0	8	270	308	4
17	SG BBM Bietigheim	11	2	0	9	323	366	4
18	HSG Wetzlar	11	0	2	9	326	364	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	HSG Wetzlar
Vfl Gummersbach	29-39 L	33-36 L
MT Melsungen	26-27 L	24-25 L
TVB 1898 Stuttgart	28-29 L	26-31 L
Rhein Neckar Lowen	27-29 L	30-30 D
SC Magdeburg	30-31 L	30-38 L
ThSV Eisenach	36-27 W	31-31 D
HSV Hamburg	30-26 W	32-37 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	0 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: HBW Balingen-Weilstetten (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HBW Balingen-Weilstetten

WWLLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	29-39	L
29/10	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	25-31	L
24/10	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	26-27	L
19/10	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	29-29	D
02/10	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	28-29	L
18/09	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	28-29	L
11/09	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	27-29	L
06/09	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	30-31	L
03/09	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	36-27	W
30/08	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	30-26	W

HSG Wetzlar

LDLLLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	24-25	L
25/10	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	30-36	L
15/10	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	30-34	L
08/10	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	26-31	L
02/10	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	30-30	D
27/09	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	32-37	L
20/09	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	33-36	L
13/09	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	30-38	L
07/09	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
03/09	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	27-31	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HBW Balingen-Weilstetten vs HSG Wetzlar?

Our model gives 62% to HBW Balingen-Weilstetten.

How many points are expected in HBW Balingen-Weilstetten vs HSG Wetzlar?

The model estimates 60.6 total points (HBW Balingen-Weilstetten 31.4 · HSG Wetzlar 29.2).