Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 14/11, 15:55

Prediction: Fuchse Berlin vs THW Kiel

Team pages: Fuchse Berlin · THW Kiel

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.8Total

Fuchse Berlin32

THW Kiel30.8

1X2

59% 41%

Fuchse Berlin THW Kiel

Recent form · 10 last

Fuchse Berlin 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWLLWW

THW Kiel 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Fuchse Berlin 5–1–0 THW Kiel (6 last)

THW Kiel28-35Fuchse Berlin
Fuchse Berlin32-30THW Kiel
Fuchse Berlin32-29THW Kiel
Fuchse Berlin31-31THW Kiel
THW Kiel34-36Fuchse Berlin
Fuchse Berlin35-26THW Kiel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fuchse Berlin 1593 · THW Kiel 1585

	Fuchse Berlin	THW Kiel
Our model	61%	39%
Market	51%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 62.8 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -1.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.8Fuchse Berlin 32 · THW Kiel 30.8

Match keys

H2H favours Fuchse Berlin: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fuchse Berlin	THW Kiel
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.8 / 31.5	30.7 / 28.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.8 / 32.2	32.2 / 26.8
Est. result	32	31

Est. total62.8

Line O/U64.5

Diff.1.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X8.00

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.88

Under 64.51.88

Diff.: 2.45 · Est. total: 62.05

Market movement

Match winner · 10 moves · last 05:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.47 → 1.85▲	Bet365 1.85
X	9.00 → 8.00▼	Bet365 8.00
2	3.80 → 2.55▼	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (10)

Bet365 margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:06 +12’	1.47	9.00	3.80
16:13 +3’	1.50▲	8.50▼	3.50▼
14:44 +33’	1.88▲	8.00▼	2.50▼
17:15 +2’	1.78▼	8.00	2.70▲
18:00 +17’	1.88▲	8.00	2.50▼
19:03 +15’	1.78▼	8.00	2.70▲
21:56 +19’	1.90▲	8.00	2.35▼
23:48 +28’	1.85▼	8.00	2.55▲
00:19 +56’	1.90▲	8.00	2.35▼
04:41 +35’	1.85▼	8.00	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fuchse Berlin 5–1–0 THW Kiel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Germany Bundesliga	THW Kiel	28-35	Fuchse Berlin
18/12/25 Germany DHB Pokal	Fuchse Berlin	32-30	THW Kiel
15/11/25 Germany Bundesliga	Fuchse Berlin	32-29	THW Kiel
23/08/25 Germany Super Cup	Fuchse Berlin	31-31	THW Kiel
16/04/25 Germany Bundesliga	THW Kiel	34-36	Fuchse Berlin
03/11/24 Germany Bundesliga	Fuchse Berlin	35-26	THW Kiel

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	12	10	1	1	378	336	21
2	SC Magdeburg	11	10	0	1	363	317	20
3	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	11	9	1	1	378	336	19
4	MT Melsungen	11	7	1	3	335	304	15
5	Fuchse Berlin	10	7	0	3	338	315	14
6	Vfl Gummersbach	11	6	2	3	352	327	14
7	TBV Lemgo	11	7	0	4	338	339	14
8	HC Erlangen	11	6	1	4	342	340	13
9	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	11	5	2	4	319	319	12
10	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	11	5	1	5	333	332	11
11	Frisch Auf Goppingen	11	4	0	7	307	336	8
12	HSV Hamburg	11	3	1	7	327	334	7
13	Rhein Neckar Lowen	11	3	1	7	312	332	7
14	ThSV Eisenach	11	2	2	7	310	337	6
15	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	10	2	1	7	288	297	5
16	Bergischer HC	10	2	0	8	270	308	4
17	SG BBM Bietigheim	11	2	0	9	323	366	4
18	HSG Wetzlar	11	0	2	9	326	364	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fuchse Berlin	THW Kiel
ThSV Eisenach	32-29 W	28-27 W
SG Flensburg-Handewitt	33-34 L	31-31 D
Vfl Gummersbach	33-28 W	29-26 W
TVB 1898 Stuttgart	34-33 W	33-22 W
SC Magdeburg	32-36 L	26-32 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Fuchse Berlin (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fuchse Berlin

WLWWWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	32-29	W
25/10	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	36-30	W
18/10	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	33-34	L
11/10	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	36-37	L
03/10	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	32-31	W
20/09	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	37-26	W
13/09	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	33-28	W
06/09	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	34-33	W
03/09	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	32-36	L
27/08	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	33-31	W

THW Kiel

WWWDLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	33-22	W
24/10	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	36-31	W
15/10	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	37-36	W
11/10	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	26-19	W
03/10	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	29-26	W
30/09	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	26-32	L
26/09	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
18/09	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	28-27	W
12/09	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	29-26	W
06/09	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	32-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fuchse Berlin vs THW Kiel?

Our model gives 59% to Fuchse Berlin.

How many points are expected in Fuchse Berlin vs THW Kiel?

The model estimates 62.8 total points (Fuchse Berlin 32 · THW Kiel 30.8).