Handball · France Proligue · 14/11, 20:30
Prediction: Sarrebourg vs Valence
Team pages: Sarrebourg · Valence
Prediction summary
Estimated points
62.2Total
Sarrebourg30.1
Valence32.2
1X2
Sarrebourg
Valence
Recent form · 10 last
Sarrebourg
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Valence
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sarrebourg
2–4
Valence
(6 last)
- Valence31-25Sarrebourg
- Sarrebourg25-32Valence
- Valence24-25Sarrebourg
- Sarrebourg25-24Valence
- Sarrebourg30-32Valence
- Valence35-34Sarrebourg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sarrebourg 1452 · Valence 1500
| Sarrebourg | Valence | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 27% | 62% |
Estimated total (ours)
62.2 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +2.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points62.2Sarrebourg 30.1 · Valence 32.2
Match keys
- H2H favours Valence: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sarrebourg | Valence | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 28 / 30.2 | 33.2 / 33.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 26.4 / 29 | 33.8 / 31.6 |
| Est. result | 30 | 32 |
Est. total62.2
Line O/U59.5
Diff.2.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sarrebourg 2–0–4 Valence
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 France Proligue | Valence | 31-25 | Sarrebourg |
| 06/12/25 France Proligue | Sarrebourg | 25-32 | Valence |
| 07/02/25 France Proligue | Valence | 24-25 | Sarrebourg |
| 12/10/24 France Proligue | Sarrebourg | 25-24 | Valence |
| 17/05/24 France Proligue | Sarrebourg | 30-32 | Valence |
| 15/09/23 France Proligue | Valence | 35-34 | Sarrebourg |
Standings · France Proligue
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivry | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 292 | 259 | 15 |
| 2 | Billere | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 253 | 241 | 14 |
| 3 | Dijon | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 289 | 240 | 14 |
| 4 | JS Cherbourg | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 266 | 239 | 14 |
| 5 | Pontault-Combault | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 290 | 274 | 13 |
| 6 | Creteil | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 244 | 241 | 10 |
| 7 | Valence | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 299 | 296 | 9 |
| 8 | Cournon d'Auvergne | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 233 | 234 | 9 |
| 9 | US Saintes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 236 | 242 | 8 |
| 10 | Grand Besançon | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 236 | 244 | 6 |
| 11 | Sarrebourg | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 217 | 241 | 6 |
| 12 | Val D'Oise | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 244 | 262 | 5 |
| 13 | Istres Provence | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 211 | 228 | 4 |
| 14 | Massy | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 265 | 295 | 4 |
| 15 | Frontignan | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 256 | 295 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sarrebourg | Valence |
|---|---|---|
| Istres Provence | 18-28 L | 33-29 W |
| Grand Besançon | 26-33 L | 30-34 L |
| Massy | 30-26 W | 44-33 W |
| Creteil | 28-29 L | 31-27 W |
| Val D'Oise | 31-30 W | 30-32 L |
| Ivry | 26-33 L | 32-41 L |
| Cournon d'Auvergne | 28-33 L | 33-33 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Valence (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sarrebourg
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Istres Provence France Proligue |
18-28 | L |
| 17/10 | Grand Besançon France Proligue |
26-33 | L |
| 09/10 | US Saintes France Proligue |
30-29 | W |
| 03/10 | Massy France Proligue |
30-26 | W |
| 25/09 | Creteil France Proligue |
28-29 | L |
| 19/09 | Val D'Oise France Proligue |
31-30 | W |
| 11/09 | Ivry France Proligue |
26-33 | L |
| 05/09 | Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue |
28-33 | L |
| 07/05 | Grand Besançon France Proligue |
34-31 | W |
| 24/04 | USM Saran France Proligue |
29-30 | L |
Valence
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Creteil France Proligue |
31-27 | W |
| 23/10 | Massy France Proligue |
44-33 | W |
| 16/10 | Billere France Proligue |
31-31 | D |
| 09/10 | Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue |
33-33 | D |
| 02/10 | Grand Besançon France Proligue |
30-34 | L |
| 25/09 | Val D'Oise France Proligue |
30-32 | L |
| 17/09 | Ivry France Proligue |
32-41 | L |
| 11/09 | Istres Provence France Proligue |
33-29 | W |
| 05/09 | JS Cherbourg France Proligue |
35-36 | L |
| 24/05 | Pontault-Combault France Proligue |
33-36 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sarrebourg vs Valence?
Our model gives 60% to Valence.
How many points are expected in Sarrebourg vs Valence?
The model estimates 62.2 total points (Sarrebourg 30.1 · Valence 32.2).