Handball · France Proligue · 13/11, 20:30

Prediction: Grand Besançon vs Frontignan

Team pages: Grand Besançon · Frontignan

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.2Total

Grand Besançon32.2

Frontignan30

1X2

71% 29%

Grand Besançon Frontignan

Recent form · 10 last

Grand Besançon 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWLWL

Frontignan 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Grand Besançon 2–4 Frontignan (6 last)

Grand Besançon39-32Frontignan
Frontignan29-31Grand Besançon
Grand Besançon29-34Frontignan
Frontignan39-29Grand Besançon
Frontignan35-33Grand Besançon
Grand Besançon28-30Frontignan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grand Besançon 1480 · Frontignan 1383

	Grand Besançon	Frontignan
Our model	72%	28%
Market	62%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 62.2 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.2Grand Besançon 32.2 · Frontignan 30

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grand Besançon (rating 1480 vs 1383).
Grand Besançon is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours Frontignan: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Grand Besançon	Frontignan
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.6 / 31	29.5 / 32.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.6 / 30.6	27.6 / 30.8
Est. result	32	30

Est. total62.2

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.45

X9.00

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 0.5 · Est. total: 62

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:21 +55’	1.45	9.00	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Grand Besançon 2–0–4 Frontignan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 France Proligue	Grand Besançon	39-32	Frontignan
21/11/25 France Proligue	Frontignan	29-31	Grand Besançon
16/05/25 France Proligue	Grand Besançon	29-34	Frontignan
25/10/24 France Proligue	Frontignan	39-29	Grand Besançon
13/04/24 France Proligue	Frontignan	35-33	Grand Besançon
10/11/23 France Proligue	Grand Besançon	28-30	Frontignan

Standings · France Proligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ivry	9	7	1	1	292	259	15
2	Billere	8	6	1	1	253	241	14
3	Dijon	9	7	0	2	289	240	14
4	JS Cherbourg	8	7	0	1	266	239	14
5	Pontault-Combault	9	5	2	2	290	274	13
6	Creteil	8	4	1	3	244	241	10
7	Valence	9	3	2	4	299	296	9
8	Cournon d'Auvergne	8	3	2	3	233	234	9
9	US Saintes	8	3	1	4	236	242	8
10	Grand Besançon	8	3	0	5	236	244	6
11	Sarrebourg	8	3	0	5	217	241	6
12	Val D'Oise	8	2	1	5	244	262	5
13	Istres Provence	8	2	0	6	211	228	4
14	Massy	9	2	0	7	265	295	4
15	Frontignan	9	0	1	8	256	295	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grand Besançon	Frontignan
Dijon	19-32 L	30-38 L
Valence	34-30 W	39-34 W
US Saintes	31-38 L	31-33 L
Billere	34-36 L	24-27 L
Val D'Oise	31-23 W	28-34 L
Creteil	28-32 L	28-33 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grand Besançon

WLLWLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Pontault-Combault France Proligue	26-27	L
17/10	Sarrebourg France Proligue	33-26	W
09/10	Dijon France Proligue	19-32	L
02/10	Valence France Proligue	34-30	W
25/09	US Saintes France Proligue	31-38	L
18/09	Billere France Proligue	34-36	L
11/09	Val D'Oise France Proligue	31-23	W
04/09	Creteil France Proligue	28-32	L
07/05	Sarrebourg France Proligue	31-34	L
01/05	Frontignan France Proligue	39-32	W

Frontignan

WLLLLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue	27-27	D
23/10	US Saintes France Proligue	31-33	L
16/10	Massy France Proligue	28-33	L
09/10	Val D'Oise France Proligue	28-34	L
02/10	Billere France Proligue	24-27	L
25/09	JS Cherbourg France Proligue	31-32	L
18/09	Creteil France Proligue	28-33	L
11/09	Dijon France Proligue	30-38	L
04/09	Ivry France Proligue	29-38	L
07/05	Valence France Proligue	39-34	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grand Besançon vs Frontignan?

Our model gives 71% to Grand Besançon.

How many points are expected in Grand Besançon vs Frontignan?

The model estimates 62.2 total points (Grand Besançon 32.2 · Frontignan 30).