Handball · Norway 1st Division · 15/11, 15:00

Prediction: Lillestrom HK vs Ryger Stavanger

Team pages: Lillestrom HK · Ryger Stavanger

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.7Total

Lillestrom HK30.5

Ryger Stavanger29.2

1X2

67% 33%

Lillestrom HK Ryger Stavanger

Recent form · 10 last

Lillestrom HK 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLWLLW

Ryger Stavanger 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLLLW

Head-to-head

Lillestrom HK 2–1–0 Ryger Stavanger (3 last)

Lillestrom HK33-27Ryger Stavanger
Ryger Stavanger30-30Lillestrom HK
Ryger Stavanger28-31Lillestrom HK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lillestrom HK 1485 · Ryger Stavanger 1453

	Lillestrom HK	Ryger Stavanger
Our model	64%	36%
Market	62%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 59.7 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.7Lillestrom HK 30.5 · Ryger Stavanger 29.2

Match keys

Lillestrom HK is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours Lillestrom HK: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Lillestrom HK	Ryger Stavanger
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.9 / 31.3	28.4 / 30.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.8 / 31	30 / 31
Est. result	31	29

Est. total59.7

Line O/U59.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.45

X9.00

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.75

Under 59.51.95

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 59.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:55 +20’	1.45	9.00	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lillestrom HK 2–1–0 Ryger Stavanger

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Norway 1st Division	Lillestrom HK	33-27	Ryger Stavanger
20/12/25 Norway 1st Division	Ryger Stavanger	30-30	Lillestrom HK
17/02/19 Norway 1st Division	Ryger Stavanger	28-31	Lillestrom HK

Standings · Norway 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Halden	9	9	0	0	297	230	18
2	Charlottenlund SK	9	8	0	1	310	256	16
3	Nordstrand	10	7	1	2	304	267	15
4	Melhus	9	7	0	2	292	253	14
5	Haslum HK	9	7	0	2	285	252	14
6	Bodø HK	9	6	0	3	258	227	12
7	Bækkelaget	10	5	0	5	296	274	10
8	Notteroy	9	4	1	4	278	273	9
9	Lillestrom HK	9	3	0	6	266	285	6
10	Asane	9	3	0	6	245	269	6
11	Varhaug	9	2	0	7	256	284	4
12	Ryger Stavanger	9	2	0	7	249	273	4
13	Kragero	10	1	0	9	268	335	2
14	Tiller IL	10	0	0	10	259	385	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lillestrom HK	Ryger Stavanger
Bodø HK	31-28 W	22-32 L
Charlottenlund SK	26-39 L	29-36 L
Melhus	29-33 L	26-23 W
Nordstrand	28-31 L	27-32 L
Haslum HK	27-34 L	26-30 L
Bækkelaget	32-38 L	20-33 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lillestrom HK

WWLLLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	Bodø HK Norway 1st Division	31-28	W
24/10	Charlottenlund SK Norway 1st Division	26-39	L
18/10	Melhus Norway 1st Division	29-33	L
07/10	Kragero Norway 1st Division	35-24	W
03/10	Nordstrand Norway 1st Division	28-31	L
27/09	Haslum HK Norway 1st Division	27-34	L
19/09	Bækkelaget Norway 1st Division	32-38	L
13/09	Halden Norway 1st Division	25-31	L
05/09	Notteroy Norway 1st Division	33-27	W
28/04	Reistad Norway 1st Division	33-28	W

Ryger Stavanger

WLLLWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Tiller IL Norway 1st Division	45-27	W
24/10	Varhaug Norway 1st Division	26-31	L
17/10	Asane Norway 1st Division	28-29	L
04/10	Bodø HK Norway 1st Division	22-32	L
27/09	Charlottenlund SK Norway 1st Division	29-36	L
20/09	Melhus Norway 1st Division	26-23	W
13/09	Nordstrand Norway 1st Division	27-32	L
06/09	Haslum HK Norway 1st Division	26-30	L
30/08	Bækkelaget Norway 1st Division	20-33	L
03/05	Kjelsas Norway 1st Division	35-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lillestrom HK vs Ryger Stavanger?

Our model gives 67% to Lillestrom HK.

How many points are expected in Lillestrom HK vs Ryger Stavanger?

The model estimates 59.7 total points (Lillestrom HK 30.5 · Ryger Stavanger 29.2).