Handball · Norway 1st Division · 15/11, 15:00

Prediction: Kragero vs Bodø HK

Team pages: Kragero · Bodø HK

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56.5Total

Kragero26.1

Bodø HK30.4

1X2

27% 73%

Kragero Bodø HK

Markets

Under 59.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Kragero 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLLL

Bodø HK 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Kragero 0–2 Bodø HK (2 last)

Bodø HK33-24Kragero
Kragero25-39Bodø HK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kragero 1414 · Bodø HK 1521

	Kragero	Bodø HK
Our model	45%	55%
Market	14%	78%

Estimated total (ours) 56.5 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56.5Kragero 26.1 · Bodø HK 30.4

Over / Under 59.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~57.8 pts · strength 2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bodø HK (rating 1414 vs 1521).
Bodø HK is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours Bodø HK: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Kragero	Bodø HK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.8 / 33.5	28.8 / 25.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.4 / 32.8	30.8 / 25.4
Est. result	26	30

Est. total56.5

Line O/U59.5

Diff.3

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.50

X12.00

21.16

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.85

2 (-5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 2.05 · Est. total: 57.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	1.16 → 1.16	Bet365 1.16

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
08:56 +20’	6.50	12.00	1.16

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kragero 0–0–2 Bodø HK

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/26 Norway 1st Division	Bodø HK	33-24	Kragero
14/09/25 Norway 1st Division	Kragero	25-39	Bodø HK

Standings · Norway 1st Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Halden	9	9	0	0	297	230	18
2	Charlottenlund SK	9	8	0	1	310	256	16
3	Nordstrand	10	7	1	2	304	267	15
4	Melhus	9	7	0	2	292	253	14
5	Haslum HK	9	7	0	2	285	252	14
6	Bodø HK	9	6	0	3	258	227	12
7	Bækkelaget	10	5	0	5	296	274	10
8	Notteroy	9	4	1	4	278	273	9
9	Lillestrom HK	9	3	0	6	266	285	6
10	Asane	9	3	0	6	245	269	6
11	Varhaug	9	2	0	7	256	284	4
12	Ryger Stavanger	9	2	0	7	249	273	4
13	Kragero	10	1	0	9	268	335	2
14	Tiller IL	10	0	0	10	259	385	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kragero	Bodø HK
Charlottenlund SK	28-33 L	26-23 W
Melhus	29-35 L	24-29 L
Nordstrand	23-33 L	24-25 L
Tiller IL	38-28 W	31-24 W
Lillestrom HK	24-35 L	28-31 L
Haslum HK	27-35 L	30-23 W
Asane	26-35 L	28-26 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 6 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bodø HK (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kragero

LLLLLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Charlottenlund SK Norway 1st Division	28-33	L
25/10	Melhus Norway 1st Division	29-35	L
18/10	Nordstrand Norway 1st Division	23-33	L
11/10	Tiller IL Norway 1st Division	38-28	W
07/10	Lillestrom HK Norway 1st Division	24-35	L
03/10	Haslum HK Norway 1st Division	27-35	L
27/09	Bækkelaget Norway 1st Division	24-28	L
20/09	Halden Norway 1st Division	24-41	L
13/09	Notteroy Norway 1st Division	25-32	L
06/09	Asane Norway 1st Division	26-35	L

Bodø HK

LWLLWWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	Lillestrom HK Norway 1st Division	28-31	L
25/10	Tiller IL Norway 1st Division	31-24	W
18/10	Varhaug Norway 1st Division	35-24	W
04/10	Ryger Stavanger Norway 1st Division	32-22	W
27/09	Asane Norway 1st Division	28-26	W
23/09	Charlottenlund SK Norway 1st Division	26-23	W
13/09	Melhus Norway 1st Division	24-29	L
06/09	Nordstrand Norway 1st Division	24-25	L
30/08	Haslum HK Norway 1st Division	30-23	W
12/04	Charlottenlund SK Norway 1st Division	30-31	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kragero vs Bodø HK?

Our model gives 73% to Bodø HK.

How many points are expected in Kragero vs Bodø HK?

The model estimates 56.5 total points (Kragero 26.1 · Bodø HK 30.4).

Over or under 59.5 points?

Recent history points to under 59.5 points (70%).