Handball · Norway 1st Division · 15/11, 17:00

Prediction: Notteroy vs Charlottenlund SK

Team pages: Notteroy · Charlottenlund SK

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.1Total

Notteroy30

Charlottenlund SK32.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

46% 54%

Notteroy Charlottenlund SK

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Notteroy 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLWLDL

Charlottenlund SK 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Notteroy 3–3 Charlottenlund SK (6 last)

Charlottenlund SK30-22Notteroy
Notteroy33-35Charlottenlund SK
Notteroy33-34Charlottenlund SK
Charlottenlund SK31-32Notteroy
Notteroy30-26Charlottenlund SK
Charlottenlund SK23-33Notteroy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Notteroy 1492 · Charlottenlund SK 1579

	Notteroy	Charlottenlund SK
Our model	48%	52%
Market	40%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 62.1 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.1Notteroy 30 · Charlottenlund SK 32.1

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Notteroy	Charlottenlund SK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.4 / 30	34.1 / 28.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.6 / 32.4	36.4 / 29.8
Est. result	30	32

Est. total62.1

Line O/U60.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.30

X8.50

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 1.05 · Est. total: 61.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
09:03 +13’	2.30	8.50	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Notteroy 3–0–3 Charlottenlund SK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/03/24 Norway 1st Division	Charlottenlund SK	30-22	Notteroy
29/10/23 Norway 1st Division	Notteroy	33-35	Charlottenlund SK
10/05/23 Norway 1st Division	Notteroy	33-34	Charlottenlund SK
18/12/22 Norway 1st Division	Charlottenlund SK	31-32	Notteroy
22/11/20 Norway 1st Division	Notteroy	30-26	Charlottenlund SK
14/12/19 Norway 1st Division	Charlottenlund SK	23-33	Notteroy

Standings · Norway 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Halden	9	9	0	0	297	230	18
2	Charlottenlund SK	9	8	0	1	310	256	16
3	Nordstrand	10	7	1	2	304	267	15
4	Melhus	9	7	0	2	292	253	14
5	Haslum HK	9	7	0	2	285	252	14
6	Bodø HK	9	6	0	3	258	227	12
7	Bækkelaget	10	5	0	5	296	274	10
8	Notteroy	9	4	1	4	278	273	9
9	Lillestrom HK	9	3	0	6	266	285	6
10	Asane	9	3	0	6	245	269	6
11	Varhaug	9	2	0	7	256	284	4
12	Ryger Stavanger	9	2	0	7	249	273	4
13	Kragero	10	1	0	9	268	335	2
14	Tiller IL	10	0	0	10	259	385	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Notteroy	Charlottenlund SK
Melhus	22-37 L	37-33 W
Nordstrand	27-27 D	30-29 W
Asane	30-29 W	39-23 W
Kragero	32-25 W	33-28 W
Lillestrom HK	27-33 L	39-26 W
Tiller IL	36-24 W	42-32 W
Ryger Stavanger	26-27 L	36-29 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	7 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Charlottenlund SK (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Notteroy

LWLWWLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Melhus Norway 1st Division	22-37	L
25/10	Nordstrand Norway 1st Division	27-27	D
17/10	Haslum HK Norway 1st Division	36-38	L
04/10	Bækkelaget Norway 1st Division	38-28	W
26/09	Halden Norway 1st Division	30-32	L
20/09	Asane Norway 1st Division	30-29	W
13/09	Kragero Norway 1st Division	32-25	W
05/09	Lillestrom HK Norway 1st Division	27-33	L
30/08	Tiller IL Norway 1st Division	36-24	W
29/04	Ryger Stavanger Norway 1st Division	26-27	L

Charlottenlund SK

WWWLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Kragero Norway 1st Division	33-28	W
24/10	Lillestrom HK Norway 1st Division	39-26	W
18/10	Tiller IL Norway 1st Division	42-32	W
14/10	Melhus Norway 1st Division	37-33	W
30/09	Varhaug Norway 1st Division	31-30	W
27/09	Ryger Stavanger Norway 1st Division	36-29	W
23/09	Bodø HK Norway 1st Division	23-26	L
13/09	Asane Norway 1st Division	39-23	W
30/08	Nordstrand Norway 1st Division	30-29	W
12/04	Bodø HK Norway 1st Division	31-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Notteroy vs Charlottenlund SK?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Notteroy 46% · Charlottenlund SK 54%).

How many points are expected in Notteroy vs Charlottenlund SK?

The model estimates 62.1 total points (Notteroy 30 · Charlottenlund SK 32.1).