Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 14/11, 19:00

Prediction: RK Svis vs RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Team pages: RK Svis · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.8Total

RK Svis27.7

RK Slovenj Gradec 201131.1

1X2

28% 72%

RK Svis RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Recent form · 10 last

RK Svis 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLWL

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWDLWWWW

Head-to-head

RK Svis 1–1–4 RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 (6 last)

RK Svis26-29RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Slovenj Gradec 201131-27RK Svis
RK Slovenj Gradec 201126-24RK Svis
RK Svis22-22RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Svis30-31RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Slovenj Gradec 201125-26RK Svis

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Svis 1433 · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 1561

	RK Svis	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
Our model	42%	58%
Market	18%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 58.8 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.8RK Svis 27.7 · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 31.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 (rating 1433 vs 1561).
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 is a clear favourite (72% market).
H2H favours RK Slovenj Gradec 2011: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Svis	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.2 / 31.3	30.8 / 27.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.4 / 29.6	32.2 / 27.8
Est. result	28	31

Est. total58.8

Line O/U59.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.00

X10.00

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.85

2 (-4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 0.95 · Est. total: 58.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
12:58 +20’	5.00	10.00	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Svis 1–1–4 RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Svis	26-29	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
11/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	31-27	RK Svis
28/02/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	26-24	RK Svis
31/10/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Svis	22-22	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
02/03/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Svis	30-31	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
07/10/23 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	25-26	RK Svis

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	10	8	1	1	339	285	17
2	RD Slovan	10	8	0	2	341	275	16
3	RK Celje	10	7	0	3	344	298	14
4	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	10	6	2	2	308	278	14
5	MRK Krka	10	6	2	2	309	311	14
6	RD Loka	10	6	1	3	299	294	13
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	10	4	1	5	280	289	9
8	RK Ormoz	10	2	3	5	278	304	7
9	RD Ribnica	10	2	1	7	293	320	5
10	SD Skofljica	10	2	1	7	295	346	5
11	RK Ajdovscina	10	1	2	7	301	346	4
12	RK Svis	10	1	0	9	272	313	2

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Svis	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RD Ribnica	28-30 L	37-27 W
RK Ajdovscina	34-28 W	39-34 W
MRK Krka	30-33 L	27-29 L
RD Loka	25-26 L	28-28 D
RK Gorenje Velenje	25-31 L	30-27 W
RD Slovan	25-34 L	23-28 L
RK Trimo Trebnje	28-32 L	32-32 D
SD Skofljica	26-31 L	34-24 W
RK Ormoz	30-33 L	29-22 W
RK Celje	21-35 L	29-27 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 9 L	6 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Svis

LLLLLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	28-30	L
24/10	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	34-28	W
17/10	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	30-33	L
10/10	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	25-26	L
03/10	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	25-31	L
26/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	25-34	L
19/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-32	L
12/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	26-31	L
05/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	30-33	L
02/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	21-35	L

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

WDLWDLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	29-27	W
21/10	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	29-22	W
14/10	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	37-27	W
10/10	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	39-34	W
03/10	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	27-29	L
26/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
20/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	30-27	W
12/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	23-28	L
05/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	32-32	D
02/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-24	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Svis vs RK Slovenj Gradec 2011?

Our model gives 72% to RK Slovenj Gradec 2011.

How many points are expected in RK Svis vs RK Slovenj Gradec 2011?

The model estimates 58.8 total points (RK Svis 27.7 · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 31.1).