Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 13/11, 19:00

Prediction: RK Trimo Trebnje vs RK Ajdovscina

Team pages: RK Trimo Trebnje

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.2Total

RK Trimo Trebnje34.9

RK Ajdovscina29.4

1X2

86% 14%

RK Trimo Trebnje RK Ajdovscina

Recent form · 10 last

RK Trimo Trebnje 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWLWWW

RK Ajdovscina 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWLLLD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Trimo Trebnje 1582 · RK Ajdovscina 1442

	RK Trimo Trebnje	RK Ajdovscina
Our model	77%	23%
Market	87%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 64.2 points · Bet365 line 65.5 · -1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.2RK Trimo Trebnje 34.9 · RK Ajdovscina 29.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RK Trimo Trebnje (rating 1582 vs 1442).
RK Trimo Trebnje is a clear favourite (86% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Trimo Trebnje	RK Ajdovscina
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.9 / 28.5	30.1 / 34.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33 / 27.8	31.8 / 35.4
Est. result	35	29

Est. total64.2

Line O/U65.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.04

X18.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.85

2 (+8.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 65.51.85

Under 65.51.85

Diff.: 1.95 · Est. total: 63.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.04	Bet365 1.04
X	18.00 → 18.00	Bet365 18.00
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:44 +32’	1.04	18.00	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	10	8	1	1	339	285	17
2	RD Slovan	10	8	0	2	341	275	16
3	RK Celje	10	7	0	3	344	298	14
4	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	10	6	2	2	308	278	14
5	MRK Krka	10	6	2	2	309	311	14
6	RD Loka	10	6	1	3	299	294	13
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	10	4	1	5	280	289	9
8	RK Ormoz	10	2	3	5	278	304	7
9	RD Ribnica	10	2	1	7	293	320	5
10	SD Skofljica	10	2	1	7	295	346	5
11	RK Ajdovscina	10	1	2	7	301	346	4
12	RK Svis	10	1	0	9	272	313	2

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Trimo Trebnje	RK Ajdovscina
MRK Krka	38-30 W	33-37 L
RD Loka	31-26 W	27-35 L
RK Gorenje Velenje	33-25 W	27-35 L
RD Slovan	26-31 L	27-34 L
RK Ormoz	37-27 W	28-28 D
SD Skofljica	37-27 W	30-30 D
RK Svis	32-28 W	28-34 L
RK Celje	39-31 W	31-39 L
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	32-32 D	34-39 L
RD Ribnica	34-28 W	36-35 W
Record vs common	8 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: RK Trimo Trebnje (10 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Trimo Trebnje

WDWWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	38-30	W
21/10	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	31-26	W
14/10	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	33-25	W
09/10	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	26-31	L
03/10	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	37-27	W
26/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	37-27	W
19/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	32-28	W
13/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	39-31	W
05/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	32-32	D
02/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-28	W

RK Ajdovscina

LLLLDWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	30-30	D
24/10	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	28-34	L
17/10	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-39	L
10/10	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	34-39	L
03/10	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	36-35	W
26/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
18/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	33-37	L
12/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	27-35	L
05/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	27-35	L
02/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	27-34	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Trimo Trebnje vs RK Ajdovscina?

Our model gives 86% to RK Trimo Trebnje.

How many points are expected in RK Trimo Trebnje vs RK Ajdovscina?

The model estimates 64.2 total points (RK Trimo Trebnje 34.9 · RK Ajdovscina 29.4).