Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 13/11, 18:30

Prediction: MRK Krka vs RD Slovan

Team pages: MRK Krka · RD Slovan

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.1Total

MRK Krka28.8

RD Slovan32.3

1X2

31% 69%

MRK Krka RD Slovan

Markets

Over 59.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

MRK Krka 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWLWWL

RD Slovan 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWWL

Head-to-head

MRK Krka 0–1–5 RD Slovan (6 last)

MRK Krka26-27RD Slovan
RD Slovan36-29MRK Krka
RD Slovan31-31MRK Krka
MRK Krka26-33RD Slovan
RD Slovan33-27MRK Krka
RD Slovan29-24MRK Krka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MRK Krka 1529 · RD Slovan 1606

	MRK Krka	RD Slovan
Our model	49%	51%
Market	18%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 61.1 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.1MRK Krka 28.8 · RD Slovan 32.3

Over / Under 59.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~63 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RD Slovan (rating 1529 vs 1606).
RD Slovan is a clear favourite (69% market).
H2H favours RD Slovan: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	MRK Krka	RD Slovan
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.9 / 31.1	34.1 / 27.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 33.2	34.8 / 28.8
Est. result	29	32

Est. total61.1

Line O/U59.5

Diff.1.6

Over / Under70% / 30%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.00

X10.00

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.85

2 (-4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 2.3 · Est. total: 61.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
13:11 +5’	5.00	10.00	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MRK Krka 0–1–5 RD Slovan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	26-27	RD Slovan
10/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	36-29	MRK Krka
30/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	31-31	MRK Krka
12/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	26-33	RD Slovan
06/04/25 Slovenia Cup	RD Slovan	33-27	MRK Krka
11/02/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	29-24	MRK Krka

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	10	8	1	1	339	285	17
2	RD Slovan	10	8	0	2	341	275	16
3	RK Celje	10	7	0	3	344	298	14
4	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	10	6	2	2	308	278	14
5	MRK Krka	10	6	2	2	309	311	14
6	RD Loka	10	6	1	3	299	294	13
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	10	4	1	5	280	289	9
8	RK Ormoz	10	2	3	5	278	304	7
9	RD Ribnica	10	2	1	7	293	320	5
10	SD Skofljica	10	2	1	7	295	346	5
11	RK Ajdovscina	10	1	2	7	301	346	4
12	RK Svis	10	1	0	9	272	313	2

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MRK Krka	RD Slovan
RK Trimo Trebnje	30-38 L	31-26 W
SD Skofljica	34-32 W	46-28 W
RK Svis	33-30 W	34-25 W
RK Celje	24-39 L	33-34 L
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	29-27 W	28-23 W
RD Ribnica	29-29 D	38-22 W
RK Ajdovscina	37-33 W	34-27 W
RK Ormoz	31-31 D	34-31 W
RD Loka	34-29 W	26-30 L
RK Gorenje Velenje	28-23 W	37-29 W
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 2 L	8 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RD Slovan (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MRK Krka

WWDWDWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	30-38	L
24/10	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-32	W
17/10	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	33-30	W
11/10	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	24-39	L
03/10	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	29-27	W
26/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-29	D
18/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	37-33	W
12/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
05/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	34-29	W
02/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-23	W

RD Slovan

WWWLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	26-30	L
21/10	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	37-29	W
17/10	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	34-31	W
09/10	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-26	W
03/10	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	46-28	W
26/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	34-25	W
20/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	33-34	L
12/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	28-23	W
05/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	38-22	W
02/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	34-27	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MRK Krka vs RD Slovan?

Our model gives 69% to RD Slovan.

How many points are expected in MRK Krka vs RD Slovan?

The model estimates 61.1 total points (MRK Krka 28.8 · RD Slovan 32.3).

Over or under 59.5 points?

Recent history points to over 59.5 points (70%).