Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 14/11, 18:00

Prediction: RK Celje vs RK Ormoz

Team pages: RK Celje · RK Ormoz

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.2Total

RK Celje33.6

RK Ormoz29.6

1X2

82% 18%

RK Celje RK Ormoz

Markets

Under 67.5 points 80%

Recent form · 10 last

RK Celje 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWWWL

RK Ormoz 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDWDLLLLD

Head-to-head

RK Celje 5–1–0 RK Ormoz (6 last)

RK Celje36-33RK Ormoz
RK Ormoz31-39RK Celje
RK Celje37-32RK Ormoz
RK Ormoz36-36RK Celje
RK Celje37-30RK Ormoz
RK Ormoz32-35RK Celje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Celje 1523 · RK Ormoz 1444

	RK Celje	RK Ormoz
Our model	70%	30%
Market	86%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 63.2 points · Bet365 line 67.5 · -4.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.2RK Celje 33.6 · RK Ormoz 29.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RK Celje (rating 1523 vs 1444).
RK Celje is a clear favourite (82% market).
H2H favours RK Celje: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Celje	RK Ormoz
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.4 / 29.8	27.8 / 30.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	35.2 / 28.6	25.4 / 31.2
Est. result	34	30

Est. total63.2

Line O/U67.5

Diff.4.3

Over / Under20% / 80%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.05

X18.00

210.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.85

2 (+8.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 67.51.85

Under 67.51.85

Diff.: 6.3 · Est. total: 61.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.05 → 1.05	Bet365 1.05
X	18.00 → 18.00	Bet365 18.00
2	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:16 +1’	1.05	18.00	10.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Celje 5–1–0 RK Ormoz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	36-33	RK Ormoz
14/03/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	31-39	RK Celje
07/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	37-32	RK Ormoz
08/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	36-36	RK Celje
29/08/25 Club Friendlies	RK Celje	37-30	RK Ormoz
20/11/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	32-35	RK Celje

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	10	8	1	1	339	285	17
2	RD Slovan	10	8	0	2	341	275	16
3	RK Celje	10	7	0	3	344	298	14
4	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	10	6	2	2	308	278	14
5	MRK Krka	10	6	2	2	309	311	14
6	RD Loka	10	6	1	3	299	294	13
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	10	4	1	5	280	289	9
8	RK Ormoz	10	2	3	5	278	304	7
9	RD Ribnica	10	2	1	7	293	320	5
10	SD Skofljica	10	2	1	7	295	346	5
11	RK Ajdovscina	10	1	2	7	301	346	4
12	RK Svis	10	1	0	9	272	313	2

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Celje	RK Ormoz
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	27-29 L	22-29 L
RD Ribnica	33-32 W	25-34 L
RK Ajdovscina	39-31 W	28-28 D
MRK Krka	39-24 W	31-31 D
RD Loka	38-27 W	25-32 L
RK Gorenje Velenje	28-29 L	22-22 D
RD Slovan	34-33 W	31-34 L
RK Trimo Trebnje	31-39 L	27-37 L
SD Skofljica	40-33 W	34-27 W
RK Svis	35-21 W	33-30 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: RK Celje (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Celje

WWLWLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	27-29	L
25/10	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	33-32	W
17/10	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	39-31	W
11/10	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	39-24	W
03/10	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	38-27	W
27/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-29	L
20/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	34-33	W
13/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-39	L
05/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	40-33	W
02/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	35-21	W

RK Ormoz

LWDWDLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	22-22	D
21/10	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	22-29	L
17/10	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	31-34	L
10/10	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	25-34	L
03/10	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	27-37	L
26/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
19/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-27	W
12/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
05/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	33-30	W
02/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	25-32	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Celje vs RK Ormoz?

Our model gives 82% to RK Celje.

How many points are expected in RK Celje vs RK Ormoz?

The model estimates 63.2 total points (RK Celje 33.6 · RK Ormoz 29.6).