Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 13/11, 18:00

Prediction: RK Gorenje Velenje vs RD Loka

Team pages: RK Gorenje Velenje · RD Loka

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.2Total

RK Gorenje Velenje28.5

RD Loka28.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

68% 32%

RK Gorenje Velenje RD Loka

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

RK Gorenje Velenje 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLLLD

RD Loka 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDLWWLW

Head-to-head

RK Gorenje Velenje 3–1–2 RD Loka (6 last)

RD Loka28-28RK Gorenje Velenje
RK Gorenje Velenje27-28RD Loka
RK Gorenje Velenje31-29RD Loka
RD Loka25-20RK Gorenje Velenje
RD Loka24-30RK Gorenje Velenje
RK Gorenje Velenje28-25RD Loka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Gorenje Velenje 1494 · RD Loka 1527

	RK Gorenje Velenje	RD Loka
Our model	55%	45%
Market	69%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 57.2 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.2RK Gorenje Velenje 28.5 · RD Loka 28.8

Match keys

H2H favours RK Gorenje Velenje: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Gorenje Velenje	RD Loka
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28 / 28.9	29.9 / 29.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.4 / 29.6	28.8 / 30.4
Est. result	29	29

Est. total57.2

Line O/U56.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.32

X9.00

24.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.85

2 (+3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 1.6 · Est. total: 58.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	4.25 → 4.25	Bet365 4.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:06 +9’	1.32	9.00	4.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Gorenje Velenje 3–1–2 RD Loka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	28-28	RK Gorenje Velenje
13/03/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Gorenje Velenje	27-28	RD Loka
05/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Gorenje Velenje	31-29	RD Loka
20/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	25-20	RK Gorenje Velenje
30/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	24-30	RK Gorenje Velenje
11/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Gorenje Velenje	28-25	RD Loka

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	10	8	1	1	339	285	17
2	RD Slovan	10	8	0	2	341	275	16
3	RK Celje	10	7	0	3	344	298	14
4	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	10	6	2	2	308	278	14
5	MRK Krka	10	6	2	2	309	311	14
6	RD Loka	10	6	1	3	299	294	13
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	10	4	1	5	280	289	9
8	RK Ormoz	10	2	3	5	278	304	7
9	RD Ribnica	10	2	1	7	293	320	5
10	SD Skofljica	10	2	1	7	295	346	5
11	RK Ajdovscina	10	1	2	7	301	346	4
12	RK Svis	10	1	0	9	272	313	2

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Gorenje Velenje	RD Loka
RK Ormoz	22-22 D	32-25 W
RD Slovan	29-37 L	30-26 W
RK Trimo Trebnje	25-33 L	26-31 L
SD Skofljica	30-31 L	35-32 W
RK Svis	31-25 W	26-25 W
RK Celje	29-28 W	27-38 L
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	27-30 L	28-28 D
RD Ribnica	29-28 W	31-28 W
RK Ajdovscina	35-27 W	35-27 W
MRK Krka	23-28 L	29-34 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 5 L	6 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: RD Loka (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Gorenje Velenje

LWWLWWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	22-22	D
21/10	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	29-37	L
14/10	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	25-33	L
10/10	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L
03/10	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	31-25	W
27/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	29-28	W
20/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	27-30	L
16/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-28	W
05/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	35-27	W
02/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	23-28	L

RD Loka

WLWWDLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	30-26	W
21/10	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	26-31	L
17/10	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	35-32	W
10/10	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	26-25	W
03/10	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	27-38	L
26/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
20/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	31-28	W
12/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	35-27	W
05/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	29-34	L
02/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	32-25	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Gorenje Velenje vs RD Loka?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (RK Gorenje Velenje 68% · RD Loka 32%).

How many points are expected in RK Gorenje Velenje vs RD Loka?

The model estimates 57.2 total points (RK Gorenje Velenje 28.5 · RD Loka 28.8).