Handball · Norway 1st Division Women · 20/09, 15:00

Prediction: Asane (W) vs Kjelsas (W)

Team pages: Asane (W) · Kjelsas (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56Total

Asane (W)29.7

Kjelsas (W)26.3

1X2

76% 24%

Asane (W) Kjelsas (W)

Markets

Under 63.5 points 85%

Recent form · 10 last

Asane (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLDWWWLL

Kjelsas (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Asane (W) 2–0 Kjelsas (W) (2 last)

Asane (W)34-29Kjelsas (W)
Kjelsas (W)29-30Asane (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Asane (W) 1529 · Kjelsas (W) 1439

	Asane (W)	Kjelsas (W)
Our model	72%	28%
Market	73%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 56 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -7.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56Asane (W) 29.7 · Kjelsas (W) 26.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asane (W) (rating 1529 vs 1439).
Asane (W) is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours Asane (W): 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Asane (W)	Kjelsas (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.9 / 26.6	26.3 / 30.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.4 / 24.4	26.6 / 30.4
Est. result	30	26

Est. total56

Line O/U63.5

Diff.7.5

Over / Under15% / 85%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.25

X11.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.85

2 (+4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.75

Under 63.51.95

Diff.: 6.95 · Est. total: 56.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:37 +17’	1.25	11.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Asane (W) 2–0–0 Kjelsas (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Norway 1st Division Women	Asane (W)	34-29	Kjelsas (W)
28/09/25 Norway 1st Division Women	Kjelsas (W)	29-30	Asane (W)

Standings · Norway 1st Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aker (W)	3	3	0	97	64	6
2	Baerum Women	2	2	0	60	42	4
3	Baekkelaget (W)	2	2	0	56	43	4
4	Stavanger IF (W)	2	2	0	67	58	4
5	Storhamar B (W)	3	2	1	83	82	4
6	Levanger (W)	2	1	1	60	54	2
7	Volda (W)	2	1	1	56	50	2
8	Gjovik HK (W)	2	1	1	63	63	2
9	Fyllingen (W)	3	1	2	89	96	2
10	HK Rygge (W)	3	1	2	82	87	2
11	Asane (W)	2	0	2	51	62	0
12	Kjelsas (W)	2	0	2	59	76	0
13	Trondheim TH (W)	2	0	2	46	66	0
14	Byasen 2 (W)	2	0	2	31	57	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Asane (W)	Kjelsas (W)
Baekkelaget (W)	18-21 L	23-32 L
Stavanger IF (W)	33-41 L	31-30 W
Gjovik HK (W)	33-22 W	28-38 L
Utleira (W)	25-31 L	22-33 L
Flint Tonsberg (W)	31-26 W	22-31 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Asane (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Asane (W)

WLWLDWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Baekkelaget (W) Norway 1st Division Women	18-21	L
06/09	Stavanger IF (W) Norway 1st Division Women	33-41	L
26/04	Pors Handball (W) Norway 1st Division Women	35-15	W
22/04	Gjovik HK (W) Norway 1st Division Women	33-22	W
15/04	Levanger (W) Norway 1st Division Women	33-23	W
29/03	Glassverket (W) Norway 1st Division Women	28-28	D
21/03	Utleira (W) Norway 1st Division Women	25-31	L
15/03	Trondheim TH (W) Norway 1st Division Women	31-24	W
28/02	Volda (W) Norway 1st Division Women	32-35	L
18/02	Flint Tonsberg (W) Norway 1st Division Women	31-26	W

Kjelsas (W)

LLLWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	Gjovik HK (W) Norway 1st Division Women	28-38	L
30/08	Fyllingen (W) Norway 1st Division Women	31-38	L
13/05	Fyllingen (W) Norway 1st Division Women	24-29	L
03/05	HK Rygge (W) Norway 1st Division Women	28-16	W
26/04	Flint Tonsberg (W) Norway 1st Division Women	22-31	L
22/04	Stavanger IF (W) Norway 1st Division Women	31-30	W
15/04	Storhamar B (W) Norway 1st Division Women	33-26	W
25/03	Utleira (W) Norway 1st Division Women	22-33	L
22/03	Aker (W) Norway 1st Division Women	21-30	L
15/03	Baekkelaget (W) Norway 1st Division Women	23-32	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Asane (W) vs Kjelsas (W)?

Our model gives 76% to Asane (W).

How many points are expected in Asane (W) vs Kjelsas (W)?

The model estimates 56 total points (Asane (W) 29.7 · Kjelsas (W) 26.3).