Handball · Norway 1st Division Women · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: Baekkelaget (W) vs Stavanger IF (W)

Team pages: Baekkelaget (W) · Stavanger IF (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.6Total

Baekkelaget (W)29.9

Stavanger IF (W)30.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

65% 35%

Baekkelaget (W) Stavanger IF (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Baekkelaget (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWWWLW

Stavanger IF (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Baekkelaget (W) 1–1 Stavanger IF (W) (2 last)

Stavanger IF (W)29-26Baekkelaget (W)
Baekkelaget (W)36-30Stavanger IF (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Baekkelaget (W) 1526 · Stavanger IF (W) 1542

	Baekkelaget (W)	Stavanger IF (W)
Our model	58%	42%
Market	62%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 60.6 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.6Baekkelaget (W) 29.9 · Stavanger IF (W) 30.7

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Baekkelaget (W)	Stavanger IF (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.9 / 28.2	33.4 / 30.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.2 / 23.8	30.2 / 31.4
Est. result	30	31

Est. total60.6

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.45

X9.00

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 0.6 · Est. total: 60.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:02 +13’	1.45	9.00	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Baekkelaget (W) 1–0–1 Stavanger IF (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Norway 1st Division Women	Stavanger IF (W)	29-26	Baekkelaget (W)
06/12/25 Norway 1st Division Women	Baekkelaget (W)	36-30	Stavanger IF (W)

Standings · Norway 1st Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Levanger (W)	6	5	0	1	191	155	10
2	Aker (W)	5	5	0	0	164	109	10
3	Baekkelaget (W)	6	5	0	1	181	148	10
4	Fyllingen (W)	6	4	0	2	196	178	8
5	Baerum Women	6	4	1	1	161	144	7
6	Storhamar B (W)	5	3	0	2	137	143	6
7	Stavanger IF (W)	6	3	0	3	180	192	6
8	Gjovik HK (W)	5	1	1	3	140	160	3
9	Trondheim TH (W)	5	1	1	3	138	164	3
10	Volda (W)	5	1	1	3	131	135	3
11	Kjelsas (W)	5	1	1	3	142	160	3
12	HK Rygge (W)	5	1	0	4	131	151	2
13	Asane (W)	5	0	1	4	122	141	1
14	Byasen 2 (W)	4	0	0	4	81	115	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Baekkelaget (W)	Stavanger IF (W)
Storhamar B (W)	35-24 W	26-30 L
Levanger (W)	24-27 L	25-40 L
Volda (W)	31-25 W	26-25 W
Asane (W)	21-18 W	41-33 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Baekkelaget (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Baekkelaget (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Storhamar B (W) Norway 1st Division Women	35-24	W
03/10	Levanger (W) Norway 1st Division Women	24-27	L
20/09	Volda (W) Norway 1st Division Women	31-25	W
12/09	Asane (W) Norway 1st Division Women	21-18	W
30/08	Gjovik HK (W) Norway 1st Division Women	35-25	W
26/04	Trondheim TH (W) Norway 1st Division Women	34-39	L
19/04	Volda (W) Norway 1st Division Women	30-31	L
15/04	Flint Tonsberg (W) Norway 1st Division Women	32-33	L
29/03	Stavanger IF (W) Norway 1st Division Women	26-29	L
21/03	Storhamar B (W) Norway 1st Division Women	31-31	D

Stavanger IF (W)

WWLLWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	HK Rygge (W) Norway 1st Division Women	33-29	W
30/09	Storhamar B (W) Norway 1st Division Women	26-30	L
20/09	Levanger (W) Norway 1st Division Women	25-40	L
10/09	Volda (W) Norway 1st Division Women	26-25	W
06/09	Asane (W) Norway 1st Division Women	41-33	W
26/04	Storhamar B (W) Norway 1st Division Women	36-31	W
22/04	Kjelsas (W) Norway 1st Division Women	30-31	L
16/04	Aker (W) Norway 1st Division Women	35-40	L
29/03	Baekkelaget (W) Norway 1st Division Women	29-26	W
22/03	Pors Handball (W) Norway 1st Division Women	53-18	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Baekkelaget (W) vs Stavanger IF (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Baekkelaget (W) 65% · Stavanger IF (W) 35%).

How many points are expected in Baekkelaget (W) vs Stavanger IF (W)?

The model estimates 60.6 total points (Baekkelaget (W) 29.9 · Stavanger IF (W) 30.7).