Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga · 14/11, 18:00

Prediction: 1. Vfl Potsdam vs TSV Bayer Dormagen

Team pages: 1. Vfl Potsdam · TSV Bayer Dormagen

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.9Total

1. Vfl Potsdam30.7

TSV Bayer Dormagen28.2

1X2

76% 24%

1. Vfl Potsdam TSV Bayer Dormagen

Markets

Under 62.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

1. Vfl Potsdam 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLLWW

TSV Bayer Dormagen 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

1. Vfl Potsdam 6–0 TSV Bayer Dormagen (6 last)

TSV Bayer Dormagen29-351. Vfl Potsdam
1. Vfl Potsdam33-30TSV Bayer Dormagen
TSV Bayer Dormagen27-321. Vfl Potsdam
1. Vfl Potsdam27-22TSV Bayer Dormagen
1. Vfl Potsdam38-33TSV Bayer Dormagen
TSV Bayer Dormagen23-241. Vfl Potsdam

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 1. Vfl Potsdam 1569 · TSV Bayer Dormagen 1502

	1. Vfl Potsdam	TSV Bayer Dormagen
Our model	69%	31%
Market	73%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 58.9 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -3.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.91. Vfl Potsdam 30.7 · TSV Bayer Dormagen 28.2

Over / Under 62.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~59.2 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 1. Vfl Potsdam (rating 1569 vs 1502).
1. Vfl Potsdam is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours 1. Vfl Potsdam: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	1. Vfl Potsdam	TSV Bayer Dormagen
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.2 / 27.4	29.7 / 31.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.4 / 27.4	31 / 30
Est. result	31	28

Est. total58.9

Line O/U62.5

Diff.3.6

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.22

X10.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.85

2 (+4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 3.8 · Est. total: 58.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
10:15 +62’	1.22	10.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · 1. Vfl Potsdam 6–0–0 TSV Bayer Dormagen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/04/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TSV Bayer Dormagen	29-35	1. Vfl Potsdam
23/11/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	1. Vfl Potsdam	33-30	TSV Bayer Dormagen
18/05/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TSV Bayer Dormagen	27-32	1. Vfl Potsdam
03/12/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga	1. Vfl Potsdam	27-22	TSV Bayer Dormagen
04/03/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga	1. Vfl Potsdam	38-33	TSV Bayer Dormagen
30/09/22 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TSV Bayer Dormagen	23-24	1. Vfl Potsdam

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Elbflorenz 2006	10	9	0	1	364	287	18
2	VFL Bad Schwartau	10	8	0	2	329	283	16
3	SC DHFK Leipzig	10	8	0	2	326	300	16
4	1. Vfl Potsdam	10	8	0	2	292	274	16
5	VfL Eintracht Hagen	10	7	0	3	319	280	14
6	TSV GWD Minden	10	6	1	3	308	273	13
7	TSV Bayer Dormagen	10	6	0	4	297	311	12
8	TuS N-Lubbecke	10	5	1	4	274	289	11
9	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	10	4	2	4	312	302	10
10	TV Grosswallstadt	10	4	1	5	302	302	9
11	TUS Ferndorf	10	4	0	6	289	298	8
12	TuSEM Essen	10	3	1	6	306	322	7
13	TV 05/07 Huttenberg	10	3	0	7	314	324	6
14	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	10	3	0	7	314	341	6
15	TV Emsdetten	10	2	1	7	299	316	5
16	HSC 2000 Coburg	10	1	3	6	269	314	5
17	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	10	2	0	8	257	299	4
18	ASV Hamm-Westfalen	10	2	0	8	277	333	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	1. Vfl Potsdam	TSV Bayer Dormagen
VFL Bad Schwartau	28-29 L	31-42 L
Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	23-19 W	25-30 L
TV Emsdetten	34-31 W	30-28 W
TV 05/07 Huttenberg	33-32 W	35-33 W
HSC 2000 Coburg	31-30 W	30-29 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: 1. Vfl Potsdam (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

1. Vfl Potsdam

WWWWWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	TV Grosswallstadt Germany 2 Bundesliga	26-25	W
23/10	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-25	W
16/10	VFL Bad Schwartau Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-29	L
09/10	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	25-30	L
05/10	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-28	W
26/09	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-25	W
19/09	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	23-19	W
14/09	TV Emsdetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-31	W
09/09	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-32	W
29/08	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-30	W

TSV Bayer Dormagen

LLLWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	ASV Hamm-Westfalen Germany 2 Bundesliga	35-30	W
25/10	TV Emsdetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-28	W
17/10	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-29	W
10/10	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	35-33	W
03/10	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	25-30	L
27/09	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany 2 Bundesliga	27-26	W
18/09	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-26	W
12/09	TuS N-Lubbecke Germany 2 Bundesliga	25-29	L
05/09	VFL Bad Schwartau Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-42	L
30/08	HC Elbflorenz 2006 Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-38	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 1. Vfl Potsdam vs TSV Bayer Dormagen?

Our model gives 76% to 1. Vfl Potsdam.

How many points are expected in 1. Vfl Potsdam vs TSV Bayer Dormagen?

The model estimates 58.9 total points (1. Vfl Potsdam 30.7 · TSV Bayer Dormagen 28.2).

Over or under 62.5 points?

Recent history points to under 62.5 points (70%).