Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga · 14/11, 19:30

Prediction: TV Emsdetten vs TSV GWD Minden

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.9Total

TV Emsdetten28.9

TSV GWD Minden31

1X2

36% 64%

TV Emsdetten TSV GWD Minden

Recent form · 10 last

TV Emsdetten 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLDLLL

TSV GWD Minden 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

TV Emsdetten 1–3 TSV GWD Minden (4 last)

TV Emsdetten30-34TSV GWD Minden
TV Emsdetten29-22TSV GWD Minden
TSV GWD Minden27-24TV Emsdetten
TV Emsdetten32-34TSV GWD Minden

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TV Emsdetten 1438 · TSV GWD Minden 1542

	TV Emsdetten	TSV GWD Minden
Our model	45%	55%
Market	27%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 59.9 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.9TV Emsdetten 28.9 · TSV GWD Minden 31

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TSV GWD Minden (rating 1438 vs 1542).
H2H favours TSV GWD Minden: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TV Emsdetten	TSV GWD Minden
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.9 / 31.6	30.8 / 27.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.4 / 31.8	32.4 / 26
Est. result	29	31

Est. total59.9

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.30

X9.00

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.85

2 (-2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 1.7 · Est. total: 59.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
10:12 +6’	3.30	9.00	1.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TV Emsdetten 1–0–3 TSV GWD Minden

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/08/24 Club Friendlies	TV Emsdetten	30-34	TSV GWD Minden
26/03/16 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TV Emsdetten	29-22	TSV GWD Minden
23/10/15 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TSV GWD Minden	27-24	TV Emsdetten
22/10/14 Germany DHB Pokal	TV Emsdetten	32-34	TSV GWD Minden

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Elbflorenz 2006	10	9	0	1	364	287	18
2	VFL Bad Schwartau	10	8	0	2	329	283	16
3	SC DHFK Leipzig	10	8	0	2	326	300	16
4	1. Vfl Potsdam	10	8	0	2	292	274	16
5	VfL Eintracht Hagen	10	7	0	3	319	280	14
6	TSV GWD Minden	10	6	1	3	308	273	13
7	TSV Bayer Dormagen	10	6	0	4	297	311	12
8	TuS N-Lubbecke	10	5	1	4	274	289	11
9	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	10	4	2	4	312	302	10
10	TV Grosswallstadt	10	4	1	5	302	302	9
11	TUS Ferndorf	10	4	0	6	289	298	8
12	TuSEM Essen	10	3	1	6	306	322	7
13	TV 05/07 Huttenberg	10	3	0	7	314	324	6
14	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	10	3	0	7	314	341	6
15	TV Emsdetten	10	2	1	7	299	316	5
16	HSC 2000 Coburg	10	1	3	6	269	314	5
17	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	10	2	0	8	257	299	4
18	ASV Hamm-Westfalen	10	2	0	8	277	333	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TV Emsdetten	TSV GWD Minden
TuSEM Essen	25-32 L	34-34 D
VfL Eintracht Hagen	37-34 W	32-28 W
TUS Ferndorf	26-31 L	27-20 W
Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	34-25 W	40-37 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: TSV GWD Minden (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TV Emsdetten

WLLWLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	HC Elbflorenz 2006 Germany 2 Bundesliga	27-33	L
25/10	TSV Bayer Dormagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-30	L
19/10	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	25-32	L
10/10	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-34	D
03/10	TV Grosswallstadt Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-30	L
27/09	VFL Bad Schwartau Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-33	L
20/09	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	37-34	W
14/09	1. Vfl Potsdam Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-34	L
04/09	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	26-31	L
29/08	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-25	W

TSV GWD Minden

LDLWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	27-20	W
23/10	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-24	W
16/10	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-28	W
09/10	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-21	W
04/10	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 Germany 2 Bundesliga	40-37	W
26/09	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-33	L
20/09	TuS N-Lubbecke Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-24	W
13/09	ASV Hamm-Westfalen Germany 2 Bundesliga	27-28	L
06/09	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-34	D
31/08	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany 2 Bundesliga	23-24	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TV Emsdetten vs TSV GWD Minden?

Our model gives 64% to TSV GWD Minden.

How many points are expected in TV Emsdetten vs TSV GWD Minden?

The model estimates 59.9 total points (TV Emsdetten 28.9 · TSV GWD Minden 31).