Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga · 15/11, 17:00

Prediction: HSC 2000 Coburg vs VFL Bad Schwartau

Team pages: HSC 2000 Coburg · VFL Bad Schwartau

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.9Total

HSC 2000 Coburg28.5

VFL Bad Schwartau32.4

1X2

36% 64%

HSC 2000 Coburg VFL Bad Schwartau

Recent form · 10 last

HSC 2000 Coburg 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDDDLLLL

VFL Bad Schwartau 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

HSC 2000 Coburg 3–1–2 VFL Bad Schwartau (6 last)

HSC 2000 Coburg40-34VFL Bad Schwartau
VFL Bad Schwartau27-27HSC 2000 Coburg
VFL Bad Schwartau30-21HSC 2000 Coburg
HSC 2000 Coburg30-22VFL Bad Schwartau
HSC 2000 Coburg26-21VFL Bad Schwartau
VFL Bad Schwartau30-29HSC 2000 Coburg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSC 2000 Coburg 1437 · VFL Bad Schwartau 1542

	HSC 2000 Coburg	VFL Bad Schwartau
Our model	45%	55%
Market	27%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 60.9 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +1.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.9HSC 2000 Coburg 28.5 · VFL Bad Schwartau 32.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VFL Bad Schwartau (rating 1437 vs 1542).
H2H favours HSC 2000 Coburg: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HSC 2000 Coburg	VFL Bad Schwartau
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.9 / 31.4	32.9 / 28.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	25.2 / 31	31.4 / 27.8
Est. result	29	32

Est. total60.9

Line O/U59.5

Diff.1.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.30

X9.00

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.85

2 (-2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 0.25 · Est. total: 59.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:44 +33’	3.30	9.00	1.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HSC 2000 Coburg 3–1–2 VFL Bad Schwartau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSC 2000 Coburg	40-34	VFL Bad Schwartau
19/10/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	VFL Bad Schwartau	27-27	HSC 2000 Coburg
07/06/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	VFL Bad Schwartau	30-21	HSC 2000 Coburg
27/12/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSC 2000 Coburg	30-22	VFL Bad Schwartau
22/12/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSC 2000 Coburg	26-21	VFL Bad Schwartau
01/09/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga	VFL Bad Schwartau	30-29	HSC 2000 Coburg

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Elbflorenz 2006	10	9	0	1	364	287	18
2	VFL Bad Schwartau	10	8	0	2	329	283	16
3	SC DHFK Leipzig	10	8	0	2	326	300	16
4	1. Vfl Potsdam	10	8	0	2	292	274	16
5	VfL Eintracht Hagen	10	7	0	3	319	280	14
6	TSV GWD Minden	10	6	1	3	308	273	13
7	TSV Bayer Dormagen	10	6	0	4	297	311	12
8	TuS N-Lubbecke	10	5	1	4	274	289	11
9	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	10	4	2	4	312	302	10
10	TV Grosswallstadt	10	4	1	5	302	302	9
11	TUS Ferndorf	10	4	0	6	289	298	8
12	TuSEM Essen	10	3	1	6	306	322	7
13	TV 05/07 Huttenberg	10	3	0	7	314	324	6
14	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	10	3	0	7	314	341	6
15	TV Emsdetten	10	2	1	7	299	316	5
16	HSC 2000 Coburg	10	1	3	6	269	314	5
17	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	10	2	0	8	257	299	4
18	ASV Hamm-Westfalen	10	2	0	8	277	333	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HSC 2000 Coburg	VFL Bad Schwartau
TSV Bayer Dormagen	29-30 L	42-31 W
TuS N-Lubbecke	26-26 D	34-23 W
VfL Eintracht Hagen	19-35 L	30-27 W
1. Vfl Potsdam	30-31 L	29-28 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: VFL Bad Schwartau (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSC 2000 Coburg

LLWDDDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	27-36	L
23/10	TSV GWD Minden Germany 2 Bundesliga	24-33	L
17/10	TSV Bayer Dormagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-30	L
10/10	HC Elbflorenz 2006 Germany 2 Bundesliga	20-30	L
02/10	TuS N-Lubbecke Germany 2 Bundesliga	26-26	D
26/09	TV Grosswallstadt Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-32	D
18/09	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-31	D
12/09	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-30	W
06/09	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	19-35	L
29/08	1. Vfl Potsdam Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-31	L

VFL Bad Schwartau

WWLWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-27	W
24/10	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-21	W
16/10	1. Vfl Potsdam Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-28	W
11/10	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-37	L
04/10	ASV Hamm-Westfalen Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-26	W
27/09	TV Emsdetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-29	W
20/09	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-28	W
12/09	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-33	L
05/09	TSV Bayer Dormagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	42-31	W
28/08	TuS N-Lubbecke Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-23	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSC 2000 Coburg vs VFL Bad Schwartau?

Our model gives 64% to VFL Bad Schwartau.

How many points are expected in HSC 2000 Coburg vs VFL Bad Schwartau?

The model estimates 60.9 total points (HSC 2000 Coburg 28.5 · VFL Bad Schwartau 32.4).