Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga · 14/11, 18:00

Prediction: Die Eulen Ludwigshafen vs TuSEM Essen

Team pages: Die Eulen Ludwigshafen · TuSEM Essen

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.8Total

Die Eulen Ludwigshafen29.2

TuSEM Essen29.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

58% 42%

Die Eulen Ludwigshafen TuSEM Essen

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Die Eulen Ludwigshafen 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLLLL

TuSEM Essen 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLWWW

Head-to-head

Die Eulen Ludwigshafen 2–4 TuSEM Essen (6 last)

TuSEM Essen30-29Die Eulen Ludwigshafen
Die Eulen Ludwigshafen32-26TuSEM Essen
Die Eulen Ludwigshafen29-24TuSEM Essen
TuSEM Essen26-24Die Eulen Ludwigshafen
Die Eulen Ludwigshafen32-37TuSEM Essen
TuSEM Essen30-24Die Eulen Ludwigshafen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Die Eulen Ludwigshafen 1435 · TuSEM Essen 1466

	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	TuSEM Essen
Our model	56%	44%
Market	53%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 58.8 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.8Die Eulen Ludwigshafen 29.2 · TuSEM Essen 29.7

Match keys

H2H favours TuSEM Essen: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	TuSEM Essen
Points F\|A (Last 10)	25.7 / 29.9	30.6 / 32.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	24.4 / 29.6	32.6 / 30.8
Est. result	29	30

Est. total58.8

Line O/U58.5

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.70

X8.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 0.7 · Est. total: 59.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:09 +6’	1.70	8.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Die Eulen Ludwigshafen 2–0–4 TuSEM Essen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/02/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuSEM Essen	30-29	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen
30/08/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	32-26	TuSEM Essen
27/05/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	29-24	TuSEM Essen
15/12/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuSEM Essen	26-24	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen
26/04/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	32-37	TuSEM Essen
24/11/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuSEM Essen	30-24	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Elbflorenz 2006	10	9	0	1	364	287	18
2	VFL Bad Schwartau	10	8	0	2	329	283	16
3	SC DHFK Leipzig	10	8	0	2	326	300	16
4	1. Vfl Potsdam	10	8	0	2	292	274	16
5	VfL Eintracht Hagen	10	7	0	3	319	280	14
6	TSV GWD Minden	10	6	1	3	308	273	13
7	TSV Bayer Dormagen	10	6	0	4	297	311	12
8	TuS N-Lubbecke	10	5	1	4	274	289	11
9	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	10	4	2	4	312	302	10
10	TV Grosswallstadt	10	4	1	5	302	302	9
11	TUS Ferndorf	10	4	0	6	289	298	8
12	TuSEM Essen	10	3	1	6	306	322	7
13	TV 05/07 Huttenberg	10	3	0	7	314	324	6
14	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	10	3	0	7	314	341	6
15	TV Emsdetten	10	2	1	7	299	316	5
16	HSC 2000 Coburg	10	1	3	6	269	314	5
17	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	10	2	0	8	257	299	4
18	ASV Hamm-Westfalen	10	2	0	8	277	333	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	TuSEM Essen
TuS N-Lubbecke	22-23 L	28-32 L
HC Elbflorenz 2006	28-38 L	26-42 L
TSV GWD Minden	21-30 L	34-34 D
TSV Bayer Dormagen	30-25 W	26-28 L
HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	29-33 L	29-32 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Die Eulen Ludwigshafen (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Die Eulen Ludwigshafen

LLWLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	TuS N-Lubbecke Germany 2 Bundesliga	22-23	L
24/10	VFL Bad Schwartau Germany 2 Bundesliga	21-32	L
17/10	HC Elbflorenz 2006 Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-38	L
09/10	TSV GWD Minden Germany 2 Bundesliga	21-30	L
03/10	TSV Bayer Dormagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-25	W
30/09	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-33	L
19/09	1. Vfl Potsdam Germany 2 Bundesliga	19-23	L
11/09	TV Grosswallstadt Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-30	W
04/09	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-31	L
29/08	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	27-34	L

TuSEM Essen

LDLLLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	36-27	W
24/10	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-30	W
19/10	TV Emsdetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-25	W
09/10	ASV Hamm-Westfalen Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-37	L
02/10	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-35	L
27/09	TuS N-Lubbecke Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-32	L
18/09	TSV Bayer Dormagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	26-28	L
11/09	HC Elbflorenz 2006 Germany 2 Bundesliga	26-42	L
06/09	TSV GWD Minden Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-34	D
30/08	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-32	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Die Eulen Ludwigshafen vs TuSEM Essen?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Die Eulen Ludwigshafen 58% · TuSEM Essen 42%).

How many points are expected in Die Eulen Ludwigshafen vs TuSEM Essen?

The model estimates 58.8 total points (Die Eulen Ludwigshafen 29.2 · TuSEM Essen 29.7).