Handball · Poland SuperLiga · 05/09, 15:00

Prediction: Chrobry Glogow vs Stal Mielec

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56.8Total

Chrobry Glogow29.8

Stal Mielec27.1

1X2

76% 24%

Chrobry Glogow Stal Mielec

Recent form · 10 last

Chrobry Glogow 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWLLWL

Stal Mielec 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLLLLL

Head-to-head

Chrobry Glogow 3–3 Stal Mielec (6 last)

Chrobry Glogow28-22Stal Mielec
Chrobry Glogow30-25Stal Mielec
Stal Mielec28-27Chrobry Glogow
Stal Mielec28-25Chrobry Glogow
Chrobry Glogow36-27Stal Mielec
Stal Mielec30-27Chrobry Glogow

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chrobry Glogow 1478 · Stal Mielec 1446

	Chrobry Glogow	Stal Mielec
Our model	64%	36%
Market	77%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 56.8 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · -1.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56.8Chrobry Glogow 29.8 · Stal Mielec 27.1

Match keys

Chrobry Glogow is a clear favourite (76% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Chrobry Glogow	Stal Mielec
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.5 / 29.6	25.4 / 30.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.8 / 29.8	24 / 32.8
Est. result	30	27

Est. total56.8

Line O/U58.5

Diff.1.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.18

X11.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.90

2 (+5.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.80

Under 58.51.90

Diff.: 1.35 · Est. total: 57.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:21 +26’	1.18	11.00	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chrobry Glogow 3–0–3 Stal Mielec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Poland SuperLiga	Chrobry Glogow	28-22	Stal Mielec
14/12/25 Poland SuperLiga	Chrobry Glogow	30-25	Stal Mielec
15/09/25 Poland SuperLiga	Stal Mielec	28-27	Chrobry Glogow
29/01/25 Poland Cup	Stal Mielec	28-25	Chrobry Glogow
02/04/22 Poland SuperLiga	Chrobry Glogow	36-27	Stal Mielec
30/10/21 Poland SuperLiga	Stal Mielec	30-27	Chrobry Glogow

Standings · Poland SuperLiga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	46	19	3
2	Stal Mielec	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Gwardia Opole	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KPR Legionowo	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KS Kielce	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	MKS Kalisz	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	MKS Piotrkowianin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Chrobry Glogow	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	WKS Slask Wroclaw	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Wybrzeze Gdansk	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	MMTS Kwidzyn	1	0	1	19	46	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chrobry Glogow	Stal Mielec
MKS Piotrkowianin	34-25 W	31-27 W
KS Kielce	25-37 L	27-41 L
KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	26-30 L	27-22 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chrobry Glogow (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chrobry Glogow

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/05	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	28-33	L
02/05	Stal Mielec Poland SuperLiga	28-22	W
29/04	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	34-36	L
26/04	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	25-33	L
11/04	MKS Piotrkowianin Poland SuperLiga	34-25	W
04/04	KS Azoty Pulawy Poland SuperLiga	34-32	W
15/03	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	25-37	L
09/03	Gwardia Opole Poland SuperLiga	26-22	W
28/02	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	26-30	L
23/02	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	25-26	L

Stal Mielec

WLWLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/05	MMTS Kwidzyn Poland SuperLiga	26-30	L
02/05	Chrobry Glogow Poland SuperLiga	22-28	L
25/04	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	22-30	L
22/04	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	23-35	L
12/04	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	27-41	L
04/04	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	27-22	W
27/03	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	16-34	L
15/03	Zaglebie Lubin Poland SuperLiga	33-31	W
09/03	MMTS Kwidzyn Poland SuperLiga	27-30	L
28/02	MKS Piotrkowianin Poland SuperLiga	31-27	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chrobry Glogow vs Stal Mielec?

Our model gives 76% to Chrobry Glogow.

How many points are expected in Chrobry Glogow vs Stal Mielec?

The model estimates 56.8 total points (Chrobry Glogow 29.8 · Stal Mielec 27.1).