Handball · Poland SuperLiga · 05/09, 20:15

Prediction: MKS Kalisz vs KS Kielce

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.2Total

MKS Kalisz26.9

KS Kielce34.3

1X2

17% 83%

MKS Kalisz KS Kielce

Markets

Under 64.5 points 95%

Recent form · 10 last

MKS Kalisz 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLLLWW

KS Kielce 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

MKS Kalisz 0–6 KS Kielce (6 last)

KS Kielce40-24MKS Kalisz
MKS Kalisz21-37KS Kielce
KS Kielce43-26MKS Kalisz
MKS Kalisz27-38KS Kielce
MKS Kalisz24-40KS Kielce
KS Kielce39-28MKS Kalisz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MKS Kalisz 1468 · KS Kielce 1612

	MKS Kalisz	KS Kielce
Our model	40%	60%
Market	1%	97%

Estimated total (ours) 61.2 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -3.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.2MKS Kalisz 26.9 · KS Kielce 34.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KS Kielce (rating 1468 vs 1612).
KS Kielce is a clear favourite (83% market).
H2H favours KS Kielce: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	MKS Kalisz	KS Kielce
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.9 / 30.7	36 / 25.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	26.8 / 32.2	34 / 25
Est. result	27	34

Est. total61.2

Line O/U64.5

Diff.3.3

Over / Under5% / 95%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

167.00

X67.00

21.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+15.5)1.85

2 (-15.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.80

Under 64.51.90

Diff.: 4.4 · Est. total: 60.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	67.00 → 67.00	Bet365 67.00
X	67.00 → 67.00	Bet365 67.00
2	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 2.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:23 +31’	67.00	67.00	1.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MKS Kalisz 0–0–6 KS Kielce

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Poland SuperLiga	KS Kielce	40-24	MKS Kalisz
22/04/26 Poland SuperLiga	MKS Kalisz	21-37	KS Kielce
06/12/25 Poland SuperLiga	KS Kielce	43-26	MKS Kalisz
03/09/25 Poland SuperLiga	MKS Kalisz	27-38	KS Kielce
09/03/25 Poland SuperLiga	MKS Kalisz	24-40	KS Kielce
19/10/24 Poland SuperLiga	KS Kielce	39-28	MKS Kalisz

Standings · Poland SuperLiga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	46	19	3
2	Stal Mielec	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Gwardia Opole	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KPR Legionowo	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KS Kielce	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	MKS Kalisz	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	MKS Piotrkowianin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Chrobry Glogow	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	WKS Slask Wroclaw	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Wybrzeze Gdansk	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	MMTS Kwidzyn	1	0	1	19	46	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MKS Kalisz	KS Kielce
Chrobry Glogow	33-28 W	37-25 W
KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	21-28 L	30-23 W
Wisla Plock	27-37 L	36-27 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: KS Kielce (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MKS Kalisz

LWLWLLLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/05	Chrobry Glogow Poland SuperLiga	33-28	W
02/05	MMTS Kwidzyn Poland SuperLiga	35-28	W
25/04	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	24-40	L
22/04	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	21-37	L
13/04	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	21-28	L
04/04	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	27-37	L
28/03	Zaglebie Lubin Poland SuperLiga	28-25	W
13/03	MMTS Kwidzyn Poland SuperLiga	29-30	L
08/03	MKS Piotrkowianin Poland SuperLiga	32-23	W
22/02	Gwardia Opole Poland SuperLiga	29-31	L

KS Kielce

WWWWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/05	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	36-27	W
24/05	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	30-25	W
08/05	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	30-23	W
03/05	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	34-26	W
25/04	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	40-24	W
22/04	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	37-21	W
12/04	Stal Mielec Poland SuperLiga	41-27	W
04/04	KPR Legionowo Poland SuperLiga	38-28	W
15/03	Chrobry Glogow Poland SuperLiga	37-25	W
08/03	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	37-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MKS Kalisz vs KS Kielce?

Our model gives 83% to KS Kielce.

How many points are expected in MKS Kalisz vs KS Kielce?

The model estimates 61.2 total points (MKS Kalisz 26.9 · KS Kielce 34.3).