Handball · Poland SuperLiga · 05/09, 18:00

Prediction: Gwardia Opole vs KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56Total

Gwardia Opole28

KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski28

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

47% 53%

Gwardia Opole KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Gwardia Opole 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWWL

KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLLDL

Head-to-head

Gwardia Opole 2–4 KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski (6 last)

Gwardia Opole21-29KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski
KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski37-27Gwardia Opole
Gwardia Opole40-32KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski
KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski33-30Gwardia Opole
Gwardia Opole34-28KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski
Gwardia Opole26-27KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gwardia Opole 1537 · KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski 1509

	Gwardia Opole	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski
Our model	64%	36%
Market	32%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 56 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56Gwardia Opole 28 · KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski 28

Match keys

H2H favours KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Gwardia Opole	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.3 / 27.6	27.2 / 27.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 27.6	25.6 / 31.6
Est. result	28	28

Est. total56

Line O/U56.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.80

X8.00

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.85

2 (-1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 0.85 · Est. total: 55.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:22 +28’	2.80	8.00	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gwardia Opole 2–0–4 KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/12/25 Poland SuperLiga	Gwardia Opole	21-29	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski
08/09/25 Poland SuperLiga	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	37-27	Gwardia Opole
22/03/25 Poland SuperLiga	Gwardia Opole	40-32	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski
17/11/24 Poland SuperLiga	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	33-30	Gwardia Opole
21/02/24 Poland Cup	Gwardia Opole	34-28	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski
07/02/24 Poland SuperLiga	Gwardia Opole	26-27	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski

Standings · Poland SuperLiga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	46	19	3
2	Stal Mielec	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Gwardia Opole	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KPR Legionowo	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KS Kielce	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	MKS Kalisz	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	MKS Piotrkowianin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Chrobry Glogow	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	WKS Slask Wroclaw	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Wybrzeze Gdansk	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	MMTS Kwidzyn	1	0	1	19	46	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gwardia Opole	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski
KPR Legionowo	24-28 L	25-20 W
KS Azoty Pulawy	36-28 W	38-23 W
MMTS Kwidzyn	29-22 W	27-33 L
Wybrzeze Gdansk	34-36 L	24-33 L
MKS Kalisz	31-29 W	28-21 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gwardia Opole

WLLWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/05	KPR Legionowo Poland SuperLiga	24-28	L
02/05	Zaglebie Lubin Poland SuperLiga	34-30	W
29/04	MKS Piotrkowianin Poland SuperLiga	28-27	W
23/04	KS Azoty Pulawy Poland SuperLiga	36-28	W
11/04	Zaglebie Lubin Poland SuperLiga	28-25	W
06/04	MMTS Kwidzyn Poland SuperLiga	29-22	W
28/03	MKS Piotrkowianin Poland SuperLiga	27-25	W
09/03	Chrobry Glogow Poland SuperLiga	22-26	L
02/03	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	34-36	L
22/02	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	31-29	W

KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski

WWLWWLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/06	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	24-33	L
23/05	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	28-28	D
08/05	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	23-30	L
03/05	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	26-34	L
27/04	MMTS Kwidzyn Poland SuperLiga	27-33	L
23/04	MMTS Kwidzyn Poland SuperLiga	31-23	W
13/04	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	28-21	W
04/04	Stal Mielec Poland SuperLiga	22-27	L
30/03	KPR Legionowo Poland SuperLiga	25-20	W
13/03	KS Azoty Pulawy Poland SuperLiga	38-23	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gwardia Opole vs KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Gwardia Opole 47% · KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski 53%).

How many points are expected in Gwardia Opole vs KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski?

The model estimates 56 total points (Gwardia Opole 28 · KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski 28).