Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 14/11, 17:00

Prediction: Kristiansand vs Bergen Handball

Team pages: Kristiansand · Bergen Handball

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.3Total

Kristiansand29.1

Bergen Handball29.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

Kristiansand Bergen Handball

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 62.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Kristiansand 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDLWWWWL

Bergen Handball 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLWLWL

Head-to-head

Kristiansand 1–1–4 Bergen Handball (6 last)

Kristiansand28-30Bergen Handball
Bergen Handball33-33Kristiansand
Bergen Handball26-28Kristiansand
Kristiansand28-29Bergen Handball
Kristiansand28-30Bergen Handball
Bergen Handball30-27Kristiansand

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kristiansand 1492 · Bergen Handball 1509

	Kristiansand	Bergen Handball
Our model	58%	42%
Market	49%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 58.3 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -4.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.3Kristiansand 29.1 · Bergen Handball 29.2

Over / Under 62.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~59.1 pts · strength 3

Match keys

H2H favours Bergen Handball: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Kristiansand	Bergen Handball
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.5 / 28.7	28.7 / 30.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.8 / 26.2	28.8 / 27.2
Est. result	29	29

Est. total58.3

Line O/U62.5

Diff.4.2

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X8.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 4.5 · Est. total: 58

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
09:36 +40’	1.85	8.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristiansand 1–1–4 Bergen Handball

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansand	28-30	Bergen Handball
09/11/25 Norway Eliteserien	Bergen Handball	33-33	Kristiansand
30/03/25 Norway Eliteserien	Bergen Handball	26-28	Kristiansand
01/12/24 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansand	28-29	Bergen Handball
04/02/24 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansand	28-30	Bergen Handball
17/09/23 Norway Eliteserien	Bergen Handball	30-27	Kristiansand

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elverum	9	9	0	0	316	240	18
2	Runar Sandefjord	9	7	0	2	292	247	14
3	Kolstad	9	6	1	2	286	253	11
4	Fjellhammer	9	5	1	3	255	231	11
5	Sandefjord	8	5	0	3	259	260	10
6	Nærbø IL	9	5	0	4	267	259	10
7	Kristiansand	9	4	1	4	263	255	9
8	Follo	9	4	1	4	238	258	9
9	OIF Arendal	8	4	0	4	234	225	8
10	Viking TIF	8	4	0	4	234	268	8
11	Bergen Handball	9	3	0	6	255	263	6
12	Drammen	8	2	0	6	210	238	4
13	Bergsoy	9	1	0	8	233	287	2
14	Sandnes	9	0	0	9	226	284	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kristiansand	Bergen Handball
Drammen	30-27 W	31-19 W
OIF Arendal	27-23 W	35-33 W
Sandnes	32-22 W	35-26 W
Elverum	24-32 L	29-31 L
Fjellhammer	30-30 D	22-29 L
Sandefjord	30-31 L	29-34 L
Nærbø IL	25-31 L	27-28 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Kristiansand (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kristiansand

LLLDLWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Viking TIF Norway Eliteserien	30-31	L
25/10	Follo Norway Eliteserien	35-28	W
14/10	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	30-27	W
04/10	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	27-23	W
26/09	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	32-22	W
19/09	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	24-32	L
12/09	Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien	30-30	D
06/09	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	30-31	L
29/08	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	25-31	L
11/04	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	22-32	L

Bergen Handball

LLLLWLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	27-28	L
25/10	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	35-26	W
17/10	Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien	22-29	L
04/10	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	31-19	W
27/09	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	29-34	L
20/09	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	35-33	W
12/09	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	23-33	L
05/09	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	29-31	L
29/08	Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	24-30	L
09/05	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	32-38	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kristiansand vs Bergen Handball?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Kristiansand 56% · Bergen Handball 44%).

How many points are expected in Kristiansand vs Bergen Handball?

The model estimates 58.3 total points (Kristiansand 29.1 · Bergen Handball 29.2).

Over or under 62.5 points?

Recent history points to under 62.5 points (70%).