Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 15/11, 17:00

Prediction: OIF Arendal vs Runar Sandefjord

Team pages: OIF Arendal · Runar Sandefjord

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.9Total

OIF Arendal29.1

Runar Sandefjord31.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

45% 55%

OIF Arendal Runar Sandefjord

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

OIF Arendal 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWLWLW

Runar Sandefjord 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLWWL

Head-to-head

OIF Arendal 2–4 Runar Sandefjord (6 last)

Runar Sandefjord35-30OIF Arendal
OIF Arendal29-30Runar Sandefjord
Runar Sandefjord34-36OIF Arendal
OIF Arendal33-29Runar Sandefjord
Runar Sandefjord36-28OIF Arendal
OIF Arendal23-26Runar Sandefjord

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OIF Arendal 1503 · Runar Sandefjord 1587

	OIF Arendal	Runar Sandefjord
Our model	48%	52%
Market	37%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 60.9 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +3.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.9OIF Arendal 29.1 · Runar Sandefjord 31.8

Match keys

H2H favours Runar Sandefjord: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	OIF Arendal	Runar Sandefjord
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.1 / 29.3	31.7 / 28.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.2 / 27.6	32.8 / 29.4
Est. result	29	32

Est. total60.9

Line O/U57.5

Diff.3.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.45

X8.00

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 2.1 · Est. total: 59.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
09:04 +12’	2.45	8.00	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · OIF Arendal 2–0–4 Runar Sandefjord

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/02/26 Norway Eliteserien	Runar Sandefjord	35-30	OIF Arendal
18/09/25 Norway Eliteserien	OIF Arendal	29-30	Runar Sandefjord
15/04/25 Norway Eliteserien	Runar Sandefjord	34-36	OIF Arendal
12/04/25 Norway Eliteserien	OIF Arendal	33-29	Runar Sandefjord
09/04/25 Norway Eliteserien	Runar Sandefjord	36-28	OIF Arendal
13/02/25 Norway Eliteserien	OIF Arendal	23-26	Runar Sandefjord

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elverum	9	9	0	0	316	240	18
2	Runar Sandefjord	9	7	0	2	292	247	14
3	Kolstad	9	6	1	2	286	253	11
4	Kristiansand	10	5	1	4	295	282	11
5	Fjellhammer	9	5	1	3	255	231	11
6	Sandefjord	8	5	0	3	259	260	10
7	Nærbø IL	9	5	0	4	267	259	10
8	Follo	9	4	1	4	238	258	9
9	OIF Arendal	8	4	0	4	234	225	8
10	Viking TIF	8	4	0	4	234	268	8
11	Bergen Handball	10	3	0	7	282	295	6
12	Drammen	8	2	0	6	210	238	4
13	Bergsoy	9	1	0	8	233	287	2
14	Sandnes	9	0	0	9	226	284	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OIF Arendal	Runar Sandefjord
Sandnes	30-26 W	28-24 W
Elverum	25-34 L	35-40 L
Drammen	34-26 W	25-34 L
Bergen Handball	33-35 L	30-24 W
Follo	33-29 W	33-22 W
Fjellhammer	22-23 L	24-27 L
Sandefjord	30-32 L	32-30 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Runar Sandefjord (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OIF Arendal

LWLWLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	30-26	W
24/10	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	25-34	L
18/10	Bergsoy Norway Eliteserien	34-25	W
04/10	Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien	23-27	L
27/09	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	34-26	W
20/09	Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien	33-35	L
06/09	Follo Norway Eliteserien	33-29	W
30/08	Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien	22-23	L
11/04	Bækkelaget Norway Eliteserien	37-36	W
08/04	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	30-32	L

Runar Sandefjord

LWWWWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien	24-27	L
21/10	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	32-30	W
14/10	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	28-24	W
02/10	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	35-40	L
27/09	Viking TIF Norway Eliteserien	45-26	W
19/09	Follo Norway Eliteserien	33-22	W
13/09	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	31-23	W
02/09	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	34-31	W
29/08	Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien	30-24	W
25/04	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	25-34	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OIF Arendal vs Runar Sandefjord?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (OIF Arendal 45% · Runar Sandefjord 55%).

How many points are expected in OIF Arendal vs Runar Sandefjord?

The model estimates 60.9 total points (OIF Arendal 29.1 · Runar Sandefjord 31.8).