Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 15/11, 18:00

Prediction: Follo vs Fjellhammer

Team pages: Follo · Fjellhammer

Prediction summary

Estimated points

55.8Total

Follo26.3

Fjellhammer29.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

Follo Fjellhammer

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 58.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Follo 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLDWLLW

Fjellhammer 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Follo 2–4 Fjellhammer (6 last)

Fjellhammer33-32Follo
Follo29-30Fjellhammer
Fjellhammer23-27Follo
Follo26-30Fjellhammer
Fjellhammer31-28Follo
Fjellhammer39-41Follo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Follo 1472 · Fjellhammer 1521

	Follo	Fjellhammer
Our model	53%	47%
Market	49%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 55.8 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · -2.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points55.8Follo 26.3 · Fjellhammer 29.4

Over / Under 58.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~55.1 pts · strength 3

Match keys

H2H favours Fjellhammer: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Follo	Fjellhammer
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.8 / 29	28.7 / 26.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	26.4 / 28.6	30.4 / 25
Est. result	26	29

Est. total55.8

Line O/U58.5

Diff.2.7

Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X8.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 3.05 · Est. total: 55.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
09:09 +8’	1.85	8.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Follo 2–0–4 Fjellhammer

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Norway Eliteserien	Fjellhammer	33-32	Follo
09/11/25 Norway Eliteserien	Follo	29-30	Fjellhammer
15/08/25 Club Friendlies	Fjellhammer	23-27	Follo
06/04/25 Norway Eliteserien	Follo	26-30	Fjellhammer
07/12/24 Norway Eliteserien	Fjellhammer	31-28	Follo
11/08/24 Club Friendlies	Fjellhammer	39-41	Follo

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elverum	9	9	0	0	316	240	18
2	Runar Sandefjord	9	7	0	2	292	247	14
3	Kolstad	9	6	1	2	286	253	11
4	Kristiansand	10	5	1	4	295	282	11
5	Fjellhammer	9	5	1	3	255	231	11
6	Sandefjord	8	5	0	3	259	260	10
7	Nærbø IL	9	5	0	4	267	259	10
8	Follo	9	4	1	4	238	258	9
9	OIF Arendal	8	4	0	4	234	225	8
10	Viking TIF	8	4	0	4	234	268	8
11	Bergen Handball	10	3	0	7	282	295	6
12	Drammen	8	2	0	6	210	238	4
13	Bergsoy	9	1	0	8	233	287	2
14	Sandnes	9	0	0	9	226	284	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Follo	Fjellhammer
Bergsoy	24-23 W	32-21 W
Kristiansand	28-35 L	30-30 D
Sandefjord	25-32 L	36-27 W
Nærbø IL	25-23 W	28-31 L
Kolstad	30-30 D	24-25 L
Runar Sandefjord	22-33 L	27-24 W
Drammen	28-27 W	26-29 L
OIF Arendal	29-33 L	23-22 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Fjellhammer (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Follo

LWLWLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Bergsoy Norway Eliteserien	24-23	W
25/10	Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien	28-35	L
17/10	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	25-32	L
04/10	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	25-23	W
26/09	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	30-30	D
19/09	Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	22-33	L
13/09	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	28-27	W
06/09	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	29-33	L
30/08	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	27-22	W
11/04	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	30-32	L

Fjellhammer

LWLDLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	27-24	W
25/10	Bergsoy Norway Eliteserien	32-21	W
17/10	Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien	29-22	W
04/10	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	36-27	W
27/09	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	28-31	L
20/09	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	24-25	L
12/09	Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien	30-30	D
06/09	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	26-29	L
30/08	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	23-22	W
22/04	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	32-33	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Follo vs Fjellhammer?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Follo 54% · Fjellhammer 46%).

How many points are expected in Follo vs Fjellhammer?

The model estimates 55.8 total points (Follo 26.3 · Fjellhammer 29.4).

Over or under 58.5 points?

Recent history points to under 58.5 points (65%).