Football · Thailand Division 3 · 15/11, 09:30

Prediction: Raj Pracha vs VRN Muangnont FC

Team pages: Raj Pracha · VRN Muangnont FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Raj Pracha1.07
VRN Muangnont FC1.43
1X2
27% 28% 45%
Raj Pracha Draw VRN Muangnont FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Raj Pracha 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
DLWLLLDLLL
VRN Muangnont FC 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DWDDDDWDLL
Head-to-head
Raj Pracha 1–1–3 VRN Muangnont FC (5 last)
  • Raj Pracha2-3VRN Muangnont FC
  • Raj Pracha0-1VRN Muangnont FC
  • VRN Muangnont FC5-1Raj Pracha
  • Raj Pracha3-2VRN Muangnont FC
  • Raj Pracha0-0VRN Muangnont FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Raj Pracha 1393 · VRN Muangnont FC 1509
Raj PrachaDrawVRN Muangnont FC
Our model27%29%44%
Market28%27%45%
Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VRN Muangnont FC (rating 1393 vs 1509).
  • H2H favours VRN Muangnont FC: 3-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Raj PrachaVRN Muangnont FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.71 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 3.52.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.44.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Raj Pracha 1–1–3 VRN Muangnont FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/01/26
Thailand Division 3
Raj Pracha2-3
HT 0-1
VRN Muangnont FC
13/12/25
Thailand Division 3 Cup
Raj Pracha0-1
HT 0-0
VRN Muangnont FC
21/09/25
Thailand Division 3
VRN Muangnont FC5-1
HT 3-0
Raj Pracha
16/02/25
Thailand Division 3
Raj Pracha3-2
HT 1-0
VRN Muangnont FC
29/01/25
Thailand Cup
Raj Pracha0-0
HT 0-0
VRN Muangnont FC

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRaj PrachaVRN Muangnont FC
Assumption United 1-3 L 2-1 W
Phetchaburi PBRU FC 1-1 D 0-1 L
Royal Thai Army 0-1 L 1-1 D
Samut Sakhon 1-3 L 0-4 L
Thonburi United FC 1-2 L 1-1 D
Samut Songkhram City 4-2 W 1-1 D
Suphanburi FC 0-1 L 3-3 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 5 L 1 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: VRN Muangnont FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Raj Pracha

DLWLLLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 24 L
24/10 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-3 31 L
17/10 Bangkok FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-3 23 L
11/10 Phetchaburi PBRU FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 76 D
03/10 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 32 L
20/09 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
1-2 1-3 50 L
22/03 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-2 35 L
15/03 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
2-1 4-2 42 W
07/03 Suphanburi FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-1 28 L
01/03 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 46 D

VRN Muangnont FC

DWDDDDWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Phetchaburi PBRU FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 34 L
31/10 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
0-3 0-4 85 L
25/10 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 34 D
18/10 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
2-0 2-1 26 W
11/10 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 74 D
04/10 Suphanburi FC
Thailand Division 3
2-2 3-3 46 D
20/09 Thap Luang United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 66 D
22/03 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 –– D
08/03 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 27 W
28/02 Suphanburi FC
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 52 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Raj Pracha vs VRN Muangnont FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an VRN Muangnont FC win (45%). Probabilities: Raj Pracha 27%, draw 28%, VRN Muangnont FC 45%.

How many goals are expected in Raj Pracha vs VRN Muangnont FC?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Raj Pracha 1.07 · VRN Muangnont FC 1.43), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Raj Pracha vs VRN Muangnont FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.