Football · Thailand Division 3 · 15/11, 09:30

Prediction: Assumption United vs Suphanburi FC

Team pages: Assumption United · Suphanburi FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Assumption United1.62
Suphanburi FC1.32
1X2
43% 27% 30%
Assumption United Draw Suphanburi FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Assumption United 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLLLWWLWDD
Suphanburi FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWWDWDWWDL
Head-to-head
Assumption United 0–1 Suphanburi FC (1 last)
  • Assumption United0-1Suphanburi FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Assumption United 1504 · Suphanburi FC 1538
Assumption UnitedDrawSuphanburi FC
Our model43%27%30%
Market43%27%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Assumption UnitedSuphanburi FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.21.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.70.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.82.2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.25.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Assumption United 0–0–1 Suphanburi FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/02/26
Thailand Division 3
Assumption United0-1
HT 0-0
Suphanburi FC

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAssumption UnitedSuphanburi FC
Raj Pracha 3-1 W 1-0 W
VRN Muangnont FC 1-2 L 3-3 D
Phetchaburi PBRU FC 2-1 W 2-1 W
Thonburi United FC 2-3 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Assumption United (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Assumption United

WLLLWWLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Bangkok FC
Thailand Division 3
0-2 2-2 43 D
31/10 Thap Luang United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 15 D
24/10 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
0-0 3-1 51 W
18/10 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
0-2 1-2 66 L
10/10 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 43 W
03/10 Phetchaburi PBRU FC
Thailand Division 3
2-1 2-1 54 W
20/09 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 2-3 35 L
14/03 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-2 –– L
08/03 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 27 L
22/02 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-0 43 W

Suphanburi FC

WWWDWDWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-3 97 L
25/10 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
0-1 2-2 76 D
17/10 Phetchaburi PBRU FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-1 48 W
10/10 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
1-1 2-1 25 W
04/10 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
2-2 3-3 06 D
07/03 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-0 58 W
28/02 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 42 D
14/02 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 43 W
01/02 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-1 45 W
24/01 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-1 23 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Assumption United vs Suphanburi FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Assumption United win (43%). Probabilities: Assumption United 43%, draw 27%, Suphanburi FC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Assumption United vs Suphanburi FC?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Assumption United 1.62 · Suphanburi FC 1.32), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Assumption United vs Suphanburi FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.