Football · Slovenia League Women · 15/11, 11:00

Prediction: ZNK Cerklje (W) vs Aluminij Kidricevo (W)

Team pages: ZNK Cerklje (W) · Aluminij Kidricevo (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.7Total

ZNK Cerklje (W)1.35

Aluminij Kidricevo (W)3.35

1X2

8% 11% 81%

ZNK Cerklje (W) Draw Aluminij Kidricevo (W)

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-3 8%

Recent form · 10 last

ZNK Cerklje (W) 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

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Aluminij Kidricevo (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

ZNK Cerklje (W) 2–4 Aluminij Kidricevo (W) (6 last)

Aluminij Kidricevo (W)8-2ZNK Cerklje (W)
ZNK Cerklje (W)0-2Aluminij Kidricevo (W)
ZNK Cerklje (W)2-0Aluminij Kidricevo (W)
Aluminij Kidricevo (W)3-2ZNK Cerklje (W)
Aluminij Kidricevo (W)1-5ZNK Cerklje (W)
ZNK Cerklje (W)1-2Aluminij Kidricevo (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ZNK Cerklje (W) 1372 · Aluminij Kidricevo (W) 1474

	ZNK Cerklje (W)	Draw	Aluminij Kidricevo (W)
Our model	11%	14%	75%
Market	5%	8%	86%

Estimated total (ours) 4.7 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aluminij Kidricevo (W) (rating 1372 vs 1474).
H2H favours Aluminij Kidricevo (W): 4-0-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ZNK Cerklje (W)	Aluminij Kidricevo (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 6.5	2.8 / 4.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 3.5	1.4 / 1.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/0/90%	40/0/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.4	1.5 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	1.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

117.00

X11.00

21.08

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.25)1.90

2 (-3.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.85

Under 4.751.95

Diff.: 2.85 · xG: 7.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	19.00 → 17.00▼	Bet365 17.00
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	1.07 → 1.08▲	Bet365 1.08

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:36 +16’	19.00	11.00	1.07
17:52 +1’	17.00▼	11.00	1.08▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ZNK Cerklje (W) 2–0–4 Aluminij Kidricevo (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Slovenia League Women	Aluminij Kidricevo (W)	8-2 HT 4-1	ZNK Cerklje (W)
03/05/26 Slovenia League Women	ZNK Cerklje (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Aluminij Kidricevo (W)
21/11/25 Slovenia League Women	ZNK Cerklje (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Aluminij Kidricevo (W)
09/10/25 Slovenia Cup Women	Aluminij Kidricevo (W)	3-2 HT 2-1	ZNK Cerklje (W)
04/09/25 Slovenia League Women	Aluminij Kidricevo (W)	1-5 HT 0-4	ZNK Cerklje (W)
13/04/25 Slovenia League Women	ZNK Cerklje (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Aluminij Kidricevo (W)

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ZNK Cerklje (W)	Aluminij Kidricevo (W)
ZNK Ljubljana (W)	0-7 L	1-9 L
Maribor Malecnik (W)	1-3 L	3-0 W
ZNK Zalec Trbovlje Women	11-1 W	11-0 W
ZNK Radomlje (W)	0-8 L	0-6 L
Olimpija Ljubljana (W)	1-11 L	1-7 L
ZNK Krim (W)	0-8 L	3-0 W
ZNK Mura (W)	0-10 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 6 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Aluminij Kidricevo (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ZNK Cerklje (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	ZNK Ljubljana (W) Slovenia League Women	0-3	0-7	0	0	L
01/11	Maribor Malecnik (W) Slovenia League Women	0-2	1-3	2	1	L
25/10	ZNK Zalec Trbovlje Women Slovenia League Women	5-1	11-1	9	5	W
22/10	ZNK Radomlje (W) Slovenia League Women	0-4	0-8	0	0	L
18/10	Olimpija Ljubljana (W) Slovenia League Women	0-5	1-11	0	2	L
27/09	ZNK Gazon (W) Slovenia League Women	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
17/09	ZNK Krim (W) Slovenia League Women	0-6	0-8	2	2	L
06/09	ZNK Mura (W) Slovenia League Women	0-6	0-10	0	1	L
16/08	Aluminij Kidricevo (W) Slovenia League Women	1-4	2-8	5	0	L
09/08	ZNK Ljubljana (W) Slovenia League Women	0-3	0-8	0	0	L

Aluminij Kidricevo (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	ZNK Krim (W) Slovenia League Women	3-0	3-0	5	4	W
31/10	ZNK Mura (W) Slovenia League Women	0-3	0-5	2	0	L
22/10	ZNK Ljubljana (W) Slovenia League Women	0-5	1-9	0	0	L
18/10	Maribor Malecnik (W) Slovenia League Women	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
04/10	ZNK Zalec Trbovlje Women Slovenia League Women	6-0	11-0	7	0	W
27/09	ZNK Radomlje (W) Slovenia League Women	0-2	0-6	0	1	L
20/09	Olimpija Ljubljana (W) Slovenia League Women	0-1	1-7	0	1	L
13/09	ND Primorje (W) Slovenia League Women	0-5	0-8	3	0	L
16/08	ZNK Cerklje (W) Slovenia League Women	4-1	8-2	7	0	W
09/08	ZNK Krim (W) Slovenia League Women	0-2	1-7	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ZNK Cerklje (W) vs Aluminij Kidricevo (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Aluminij Kidricevo (W) win (81%). Probabilities: ZNK Cerklje (W) 8%, draw 11%, Aluminij Kidricevo (W) 81%.

How many goals are expected in ZNK Cerklje (W) vs Aluminij Kidricevo (W)?

The model expects 4.7 goals (ZNK Cerklje (W) 1.35 · Aluminij Kidricevo (W) 3.35), with a 52% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in ZNK Cerklje (W) vs Aluminij Kidricevo (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.