Football · Spain Segunda Federacion Women · 15/11, 12:00

Prediction: Racing Santander (W) vs Eibar B (W)

Team pages: Racing Santander (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

Racing Santander (W)1.18

Eibar B (W)1.23

1X2

34% 28% 37%

Racing Santander (W) Draw Eibar B (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Racing Santander (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWWLDDWD

Eibar B (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWDWLDLL

Head-to-head

Racing Santander (W) 1–1–1 Eibar B (W) (3 last)

Racing Santander (W)1-3Eibar B (W)
Eibar B (W)0-2Racing Santander (W)
Eibar B (W)2-2Racing Santander (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Racing Santander (W) 1506 · Eibar B (W) 1488

	Racing Santander (W)	Draw	Eibar B (W)
Our model	34%	30%	36%
Market	35%	27%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Racing Santander (W)	Eibar B (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 4.1	1.4 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.30

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.35 → 2.38▲	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:48 +23’	2.55	3.30	2.35
15:52 +3’	2.55	3.30	2.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Santander (W) 1–1–1 Eibar B (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Spain Segunda Federacion Women	Racing Santander (W)	1-3 HT 0-1	Eibar B (W)
06/09/25 Spain Segunda Federacion Women	Eibar B (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Racing Santander (W)
29/09/24 Spain Segunda Federacion Women	Eibar B (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Racing Santander (W)

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Racing Santander (W)	Eibar B (W)
Sporting Gijon (W)	0-0 D	1-0 W
Athletic Bilbao B (W)	1-2 L	0-0 D
Real Aviles CF (W)	2-1 W	0-0 D
Celta Vigo (W)	1-1 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing Santander (W)

WLDWWLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Burgos (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
25/10	Rayo Vallecano (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	2-0	4-0	5	3	W
11/10	Sporting Gijon (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
27/09	Real Oviedo (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
11/04	Athletic Bilbao B (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
28/03	Real Aviles CF (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	0-1	2-1	8	3	W
22/03	Sporting Gijon (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
15/03	Celta Vigo (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	1-1	1-1	1	1	D
08/03	Eibar B (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
15/02	Burgos (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	0-0	2-0	6	2	W

Eibar B (W)

LWWWDWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/04	Deportivo La Coruna (W) B Spain Segunda Federacion Women	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
11/04	Celta Vigo (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
28/03	Athletic Bilbao B (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
14/03	Real Sociedad II (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	0-0	0-2	0	2	L
08/03	Racing Santander (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
14/02	Real Aviles CF (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
07/02	Madrid CFF (W) B Spain Segunda Federacion Women	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
10/01	Sporting Gijon (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
13/12	Olimpico de Leon (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
07/12	Real Sociedad II (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women	1-2	1-4	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Santander (W) vs Eibar B (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Eibar B (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Racing Santander (W) 34%, draw 28%, Eibar B (W) 37%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Santander (W) vs Eibar B (W)?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Racing Santander (W) 1.18 · Eibar B (W) 1.23), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Santander (W) vs Eibar B (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.