Prediction: Tusker vs Shabana FC
Team pages: Tusker · Shabana FC
- Shabana FC1-0Tusker
- Tusker1-1Shabana FC
- Tusker1-1Shabana FC
- Shabana FC2-1Tusker
- Shabana FC0-4Tusker
- Tusker0-1Shabana FC
| Tusker | Draw | Shabana FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 35% | 24% |
| Market | 43% | 31% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Shabana FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tusker | Shabana FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/50/38% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 1.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tusker 1–2–3 Shabana FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Kenya Premier League | Shabana FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tusker |
| 05/10/25 Kenya Premier League | Tusker | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Shabana FC |
| 26/02/25 Kenya Premier League | Tusker | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Shabana FC |
| 11/01/25 Kenya Premier League | Shabana FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Tusker |
| 11/02/24 Kenya Premier League | Shabana FC | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Tusker |
| 06/10/23 Kenya Premier League | Tusker | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shabana FC |
Standings · Kenya Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 1 | KCB | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | AFC Leopards | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Administration Police FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Shabana FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Mara Sugar FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | 3K FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 8 | Muranga Seal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 8 |
| 9 | Bandari FC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Posta Rangers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Tusker | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Migori Youth | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | APS Bomet | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 14 | Ulinzi Stars | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | Nairobi United | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 16 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 16 | Mathare United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tusker | Shabana FC |
|---|---|---|
| Mara Sugar FC | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Bidco United | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Nairobi United | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tusker (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tusker
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Bandari FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/11 | Mara Sugar FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 29/10 | Mathare United Kenya Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | APS Bomet Kenya Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/05 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Bandari FC Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Bidco United Kenya Premier League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/05 | Nairobi United Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Mara Sugar FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
Shabana FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Mombasa United Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 02/11 | Administration Police FC Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/10 | Migori Youth Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 25/10 | AFC Leopards Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 18/10 | Nairobi United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Posta Rangers Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | KCB Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Sofapaka FC Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Bidco United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Mara Sugar FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tusker vs Shabana FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tusker win (42%). Probabilities: Tusker 42%, draw 33%, Shabana FC 25%.
How many goals are expected in Tusker vs Shabana FC?
The model expects 1.77 goals (Tusker 1.03 · Shabana FC 0.73), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tusker vs Shabana FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.