Football · Hong Kong 2nd Division · 15/11, 06:00
Prediction: Wing Yee vs Wong Tai Sin
Team pages: Wing Yee · Wong Tai Sin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Wing Yee1.67
Wong Tai Sin1.56
1X2
Wing Yee
Draw
Wong Tai Sin
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Wing Yee
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Wong Tai Sin
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wing Yee
3–2–1
Wong Tai Sin
(6 last)
- Wong Tai Sin1-1Wing Yee
- Wong Tai Sin1-3Wing Yee
- Wing Yee2-4Wong Tai Sin
- Wing Yee0-0Wong Tai Sin
- Wong Tai Sin0-1Wing Yee
- Wing Yee3-2Wong Tai Sin
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wing Yee 1446 · Wong Tai Sin 1497
| Wing Yee | Draw | Wong Tai Sin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| Market | 40% | 25% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wong Tai Sin (rating 1446 vs 1497).
- H2H favours Wing Yee: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wing Yee | Wong Tai Sin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.3 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3 | 2.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wing Yee 3–2–1 Wong Tai Sin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/25 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Wong Tai Sin | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Wing Yee |
| 18/02/24 Hong Kong 1st Division | Wong Tai Sin | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Wing Yee |
| 15/10/23 Hong Kong 1st Division | Wing Yee | 2-4 HT 1-3 | Wong Tai Sin |
| 12/03/23 Hong Kong 1st Division | Wing Yee | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wong Tai Sin |
| 20/11/22 Hong Kong 1st Division | Wong Tai Sin | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Wing Yee |
| 12/06/22 Hong Kong Division One League Cup | Wing Yee | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Wong Tai Sin |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wing Yee | Wong Tai Sin |
|---|---|---|
| GFC Friends | 0-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Yau Tsim Mong | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Tuen Mun SA | 4-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Double Flower | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Sun Hei | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Kwai Tsing DFA | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wing Yee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 25/10 | Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Tuen Mun SA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Double Flower Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 27/09 | Sun Hei Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Kwai Tsing DFA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Wing Go Fu Moon Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
Wong Tai Sin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Tsun Tat Kwok Keung Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/10 | Sui Tung Hong Kong 2nd Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-4 | 0-5 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Tuen Mun SA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Double Flower Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Sun Hei Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Kwai Tsing DFA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 17/05 | Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 08/03 | P.B Alliance Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wing Yee vs Wong Tai Sin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wing Yee win (40%). Probabilities: Wing Yee 40%, draw 25%, Wong Tai Sin 35%.
How many goals are expected in Wing Yee vs Wong Tai Sin?
The model expects 3.22 goals (Wing Yee 1.67 · Wong Tai Sin 1.56), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Wing Yee vs Wong Tai Sin?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.