Prediction: Tsuen Wan vs Sui Tung
Team pages: Tsuen Wan · Sui Tung
- Sui Tung2-1Tsuen Wan
- Sui Tung3-1Tsuen Wan
- Sui Tung1-1Tsuen Wan
| Tsuen Wan | Draw | Sui Tung | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 21% | 58% |
| Market | 21% | 22% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tsuen Wan (rating 1485 vs 1441).
- H2H favours Sui Tung: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tsuen Wan | Sui Tung | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 2 | 1.3 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.9 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.4 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tsuen Wan 0–1–2 Sui Tung
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/25 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Sui Tung | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Tsuen Wan |
| 26/01/25 Hong Kong FA Cup Junior Division | Sui Tung | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Tsuen Wan |
| 18/02/24 Hong Kong 3rd Division | Sui Tung | 1-1 | Tsuen Wan |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tsuen Wan | Sui Tung |
|---|---|---|
| Yau Tsim Mong | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Double Flower | 0-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Sun Hei | 4-4 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tsuen Wan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/10 | Tuen Mun SA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Double Flower Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Sun Hei Hong Kong 2nd Division |
4-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Sparta Asia Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 8-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Tuen Mun SA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | P.B Alliance Hong Kong 2nd Division |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 08/03 | Fukien Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
Sui Tung
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Kwun Tong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/10 | Wong Tai Sin Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/10 | Tsun Tat Kwok Keung Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/10 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 27/09 | Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Double Flower Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Sun Hei Hong Kong 2nd Division |
2-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Leaper FC Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tsuen Wan vs Sui Tung?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sui Tung win (57%). Probabilities: Tsuen Wan 22%, draw 21%, Sui Tung 57%.
How many goals are expected in Tsuen Wan vs Sui Tung?
The model expects 3.87 goals (Tsuen Wan 1.46 · Sui Tung 2.4), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tsuen Wan vs Sui Tung?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.