Football · China Super League Women · 14/11, 07:00

Prediction: Guangdong (W) vs Sichuan Jiannanchun Women

Team pages: Guangdong (W) · Sichuan Jiannanchun Women

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.18Total

Guangdong (W)1.22

Sichuan Jiannanchun Women0.96

1X2

41% 30% 28%

Guangdong (W) Draw Sichuan Jiannanchun Women

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Guangdong (W) 1-7-2 (W-D-L)

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Sichuan Jiannanchun Women 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDDWWLDL

Head-to-head

Guangdong (W) 2–2–1 Sichuan Jiannanchun Women (5 last)

Guangdong (W)1-0Sichuan (W)
Sichuan (W)0-0Guangdong (W)
Sichuan (W)1-0Guangdong (W)
Guangdong (W)2-0Sichuan (W)
Sichuan (W)1-1Guangdong (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guangdong (W) 1482 · Sichuan Jiannanchun Women 1462

	Guangdong (W)	Draw	Sichuan Jiannanchun Women
Our model	41%	32%	28%
Market	42%	29%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Guangdong (W): 2-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guangdong (W)	Sichuan Jiannanchun Women
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/67/11%	25/63/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.2	0.9 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0.1	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.10

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.18
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.28 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:31 +33’	2.15	3.10	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:00 +1’	2.16	2.89	3.23
05:00 +1’	2.18▲	2.93▲	3.28▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangdong (W) 2–2–1 Sichuan Jiannanchun Women

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/09/23 China Super League Women	Guangdong (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Sichuan (W)
22/04/23 China Super League Women	Sichuan (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Guangdong (W)
15/11/22 China Super League Women	Sichuan (W)	1-0	Guangdong (W)
07/05/22 China Super League Women	Guangdong (W)	2-0	Sichuan (W)
25/10/21 China Super League Women	Sichuan (W)	1-1	Guangdong (W)

Standings · China Super League Women · Chinese Super League, Women 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Changchun Dazhong (W)	14	4	4	6	13	17	16
2	Guangdong (W)	14	2	8	4	11	16	14
3	Shaanxi Zhidan (W)	14	3	3	8	9	13	12
4	Sichuan Jiannanchun Women	14	2	5	7	15	22	11
5	Shandong (W)	14	1	7	6	8	15	10
6	Guangxi Pingguo (W)	14	2	4	8	11	22	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guangdong (W)	Sichuan Jiannanchun Women
Changchun Dazhong (W)	1-1 D	2-1 W
Shaanxi Zhidan (W)	0-0 D	1-2 L
Shandong (W)	0-0 D	0-0 D
Shanghai (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Jiangsu Suning (W)	0-0 D	2-3 L
Beijing (W)	0-1 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Guangdong (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guangdong (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women	1-0	1-1	1	1	D
18/10	Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
10/10	Shandong (W) China Super League Women	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
19/07	Shanghai (W) China Super League Women	1-0	2-1	1	0	W
12/07	Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women	–	1-4	–	–	L
05/07	Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
29/06	Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
24/06	Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
20/06	Shandong (W) China Super League Women	1-1	2-2	5	0	D
13/06	Beijing (W) China Super League Women	0-1	0-1	0	3	L

Sichuan Jiannanchun Women

LLLDDWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women	0-2	1-2	3	3	L
18/10	Shandong (W) China Super League Women	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
11/10	Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
19/07	Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women	1-0	2-1	1	1	W
12/07	Guangdong (W) China Super League Women	–	4-1	–	–	W
04/07	Shanghai (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
28/06	Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
24/06	Beijing (W) China Super League Women	1-1	1-3	2	1	L
20/06	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/06	Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women	2-1	2-3	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guangdong (W) vs Sichuan Jiannanchun Women?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangdong (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Guangdong (W) 41%, draw 30%, Sichuan Jiannanchun Women 28%.

How many goals are expected in Guangdong (W) vs Sichuan Jiannanchun Women?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Guangdong (W) 1.22 · Sichuan Jiannanchun Women 0.96), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Guangdong (W) vs Sichuan Jiannanchun Women?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.