Prediction: Celta Vigo (W) vs Rayo Vallecano (W)

Team pages: Rayo Vallecano (W)

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Celta Vigo (W)2.07
Rayo Vallecano (W)0.85
1X2
65% 22% 14%
Celta Vigo (W) Draw Rayo Vallecano (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Celta Vigo (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
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Rayo Vallecano (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLDWWLDDLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Celta Vigo (W) 1509 · Rayo Vallecano (W) 1470
Celta Vigo (W)DrawRayo Vallecano (W)
Our model65%22%14%
Market65%21%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Celta Vigo (W)Rayo Vallecano (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.30.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.70.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.51.4 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 02.8 / 0.2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Celta Vigo (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Deportivo A Coruna (W) B
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
0-4 0-5 62 L
11/04 Eibar B (W)
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
1-0 3-0 42 W
28/03 Bizkerre (W)
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
0-0 1-2 43 L
21/03 Deportivo La Coruna (W) B
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
2-1 2-1 24 W
15/03 Racing Santander (W)
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
1-1 1-1 41 D
07/03 Real Aviles CF (W)
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
1-0 1-1 45 D
14/02 Real Sociedad II (W)
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
0-0 1-1 85 D
07/02 Atletico Villalonga (W)
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
1-0 1-1 21 D
31/01 Atletico Madrid (W) C
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
1-1 3-1 70 W
17/01 Olimpico de Leon (W)
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
1-0 1-0 40 W

Rayo Vallecano (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Racing Santander (W)
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
0-2 0-4 43 L
28/03 Huesca (W)
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
0-2 0-3 03 L
22/03 Futbolellas CFF (W)
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
0-0 1-1 32 D
15/03 UD Tacuense (W)
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
0-2 2-2 72 D
07/02 FC Badalona B (W)
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
0-2 1-4 71 L
01/02 Dinamo Guadalajara (W)
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
1-0 1-0 44 W
10/01 SE AEM (W) B
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
1-0 1-0 14 W
14/12 Zaragoza CFF (W)
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
1-0 1-1 12 D
07/12 Huesca (W)
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
0-1 1-3 02 L
15/11 Balears FC (W)
Spain Segunda Federacion Women
0-0 1-0 27 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Celta Vigo (W) vs Rayo Vallecano (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Celta Vigo (W) win (65%). Probabilities: Celta Vigo (W) 65%, draw 22%, Rayo Vallecano (W) 14%.

How many goals are expected in Celta Vigo (W) vs Rayo Vallecano (W)?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Celta Vigo (W) 2.07 · Rayo Vallecano (W) 0.85), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Celta Vigo (W) vs Rayo Vallecano (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.