Football · Thailand Division 3 · 14/11, 09:30
Prediction: Pathum Thani University vs Ang Thong FC
Team pages: Pathum Thani University · Ang Thong FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Pathum Thani University1.19
Ang Thong FC1.13
1X2
Pathum Thani University
Draw
Ang Thong FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Pathum Thani University
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Ang Thong FC
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pathum Thani University
3–2–1
Ang Thong FC
(6 last)
- Ang Thong FC0-1Pathum Thani University
- Ang Thong FC2-0Pathum Thani University
- Pathum Thani University2-2Ang Thong FC
- Pathum Thani University2-1Ang Thong FC
- Pathum Thani University0-0Ang Thong FC
- Ang Thong FC2-3Pathum Thani University
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pathum Thani University 1499 · Ang Thong FC 1575
| Pathum Thani University | Draw | Ang Thong FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ang Thong FC (rating 1499 vs 1575).
- H2H favours Pathum Thani University: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pathum Thani University | Ang Thong FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.5 | 2.9 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pathum Thani University 3–2–1 Ang Thong FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Thailand Division 3 | Ang Thong FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Pathum Thani University |
| 30/11/25 Thailand Division 3 Cup | Ang Thong FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Pathum Thani University |
| 05/10/25 Thailand Division 3 | Pathum Thani University | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Ang Thong FC |
| 08/03/25 Thailand Division 3 | Pathum Thani University | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Ang Thong FC |
| 08/12/24 Thailand Division 3 Cup | Pathum Thani University | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ang Thong FC |
| 10/11/24 Thailand Division 3 | Ang Thong FC | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Pathum Thani University |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pathum Thani University | Ang Thong FC |
|---|---|---|
| Kasem Bundit University | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Futera United | 1-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Bangkapi FC | 1-1 D | 4-2 W |
| Lopburi City FC | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Singburi Warriors | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| North Bangkok University | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Royal Thai Air Force FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 0 L | 5 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ang Thong FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pathum Thani University
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Ayutthaya PK FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 31/10 | Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3 |
3-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 24/10 | Futera United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Bangkapi FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 10/10 | Lopburi City FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Singburi Warriors Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | North Bangkok University Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 14/03 | Lopburi City FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 08/03 | Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 01/03 | Royal Thai Air Force FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
Ang Thong FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Futera United Thailand Division 3 |
2-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 01/11 | Bangkapi FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-2 | 4-2 | 14 | 7 | W |
| 24/10 | Singburi Warriors Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Royal Thai Air Force FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 04/10 | Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Chamchuri Utd Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 14/03 | Futera United Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 07/03 | North Bangkok University Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 01/03 | Lopburi City FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 22/02 | Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pathum Thani University vs Ang Thong FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pathum Thani University win (37%). Probabilities: Pathum Thani University 37%, draw 28%, Ang Thong FC 34%.
How many goals are expected in Pathum Thani University vs Ang Thong FC?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Pathum Thani University 1.19 · Ang Thong FC 1.13), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Pathum Thani University vs Ang Thong FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.